Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox: July 26, 2025, Preview and Prediction
As the MLB season strides into late July, the Los Angeles Dodgers gear up to face the Boston Red Sox in an electrifying interleague matchup on July 26, 2025. Both teams find themselves in the thick of their respective division races, making this game not just a clash of iconic franchises but a critical contest in the playoff picture. The Dodgers, leading the NL West, aim to solidify their position, while the Red Sox, currently second in the AL East, are battling fiercely for a spot in the postseason.
Analysis Content
Recent Performance Analysis
Los Angeles Dodgers:
The Dodgers have been on a solid run over their last ten games, posting a respectable 7-3 record. Their recent series against the San Francisco Giants showcased their resilience, as they took three out of four games, highlighted by a thrilling 9th-inning comeback in the series finale. The Dodgers’ offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 6.2 runs per game during this stretch, with Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman leading the charge.
Boston Red Sox:
Conversely, the Red Sox have experienced a rocky patch, going 4-6 in their last ten outings. They recently faced a tough series against the New York Yankees, managing to salvage the final game to avoid a sweep. Despite the challenges, standout performances from Rafael Devers and J.D. Martinez have kept Boston’s playoff hopes alive. However, their bullpen has been a point of concern, particularly in late innings where they’ve struggled to maintain leads.
Head-to-Head History
This season, the Dodgers and Red Sox have split their two meetings, with each team securing a win in their home ballpark. Historically, the Dodgers have had the upper hand in recent years, winning six out of the last ten matchups. However, the Fenway faithful know that the Red Sox are always a formidable opponent at home, where they boast one of the best records in the league.
Pitching Matchups
Los Angeles Dodgers: Julio Urías
The Dodgers will send Julio Urías to the mound, who holds a 3.45 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP with 125 strikeouts over 110 innings this season. Urías has been a model of consistency, known for his ability to mix pitches effectively and keep hitters off balance. In his last start against the San Diego Padres, he pitched seven strong innings, allowing just two hits and no earned runs.
Boston Red Sox: Chris Sale
Boston counters with veteran lefty Chris Sale, who has been resurgent this season with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, tallying 130 strikeouts in 105 innings. Sale’s slider remains one of the most devastating pitches in baseball, and he showed vintage form in his recent outing against the Tampa Bay Rays, striking out twelve over eight innings of one-run ball.
Key Position-Player Matchups
Dodgers: Mookie Betts & Freddie Freeman
Mookie Betts, with a .312 batting average and an OPS of .984, has been a catalyst atop the Dodgers lineup. His 25 home runs and 70 RBIs underscore his power and run production. Freeman complements Betts with a .330 average and .950 OPS, bringing his own blend of contact and power, as evidenced by his 24 homers and 78 RBIs. Both hitters have a knack for performing in clutch situations and will pose a tough challenge for Sale.
Red Sox: Rafael Devers & J.D. Martinez
Rafael Devers has carried much of the Red Sox offense, batting .290 with a .930 OPS, along with 28 home runs and 85 RBIs. J.D. Martinez, despite a slight dip in power, remains a constant threat with a .288 average and .880 OPS. Both hitters have excellent track records against left-handed pitching, which could be crucial against Urías.
Situational Factors
The game is set at Fenway Park, favoring the Red Sox, who have excelled at home with a 35-17 record. The Green Monster can be a game-changer, particularly for hitters like Betts and Devers, who can exploit its dimensions. Weather forecasts predict clear skies with mild temperatures, creating ideal conditions for a high-scoring affair.
Injury-wise, the Dodgers are without key reliever Brusdar Graterol, out with a sore shoulder, which may impact their bullpen depth. The Red Sox have concerns as well, with outfielder Alex Verdugo nursing a tight hamstring, possibly limiting his availability.
Advanced Metrics
The Dodgers possess a team wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created Plus) of 118, indicating an offense significantly above league average. Their collective FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.85 suggests their pitching staff has been effective independent of defensive support.
For the Red Sox, a team wRC+ of 112 reflects their potent offense, while their FIP of 4.05 highlights some vulnerabilities in their pitching, primarily from the bullpen.
Prediction
Given the current form and situational dynamics, this game promises to be tightly contested. The Dodgers’ potent offense and Urías’s reliability on the mound give them a slight edge. However, playing at Fenway and Sale’s recent resurgence can’t be overlooked.
Projected Final Score: Dodgers 5, Red Sox 4
Confidence Level: 60%
The Dodgers’ ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and their bullpen depth should see them edging out the Red Sox in a nail-biter. Nonetheless, the unpredictability of Fenway, coupled with Boston’s home-field prowess, ensures that this game will be anything but straightforward.
Today MLB Pitcher Prop Bets Generator
| Player Name | Prop | Prediction | Line | Trends | Last 3 Games | Wind | Team | Odds | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Andrew Heaney | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 3.5 | 2.71 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Pittsburgh Pirates | -155 | 08-01 |
| Andrew Heaney | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 3.71 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad | Pittsburgh Pirates | -110 | 08-01 |
 Antonio Senzatela | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 3.5 | 3.62 | Under Hit 1/3 | Bad |  Colorado Rockies | -110 | 08-01 |
| Antonio Senzatela | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 2.62 | Over Hit 3/3 | Bad | Colorado Rockies | -160 | 08-01 |
 Brady Singer | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.67 | Under Hit 1/3 | Bad |  Cincinnati Reds | 100 | 08-01 |
| Brady Singer | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 4.81 | Under Hit 1/3 | Bad | Cincinnati Reds | 285 | 08-01 |
 Bryce Elder | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 3.59 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Atlanta Braves | -155 | 08-01 |
| Bryce Elder | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 4.29 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad | Atlanta Braves | 170 | 08-01 |
 Cade Horton | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 2.15 | Over Hit 1/3 | Excellent |  Chicago Cubs | -160 | 08-01 |
| Cade Horton | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 3.85 | Under Hit 1/3 | Excellent | Chicago Cubs | 180 | 08-01 |
 Carlos Rodon | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.09 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  New York Yankees | -160 | 08-01 |
| Carlos Rodon | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 6.5 | 6.68 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | New York Yankees | 120 | 08-01 |
 Clayton Kershaw | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.0 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Los Angeles Dodgers | -135 | 08-01 |
| Clayton Kershaw | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 3.25 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Dodgers | 130 | 08-01 |
 David Peterson | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.9 | Under Hit 3/3 | Good |  New York Mets | -160 | 08-01 |
| David Peterson | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 5.05 | Over Hit 1/3 | Good | New York Mets | -158 | 08-01 |
 Gavin Williams | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.05 | Under Hit 2/3 | Good |  Cleveland Guardians | -160 | 08-01 |
| Gavin Williams | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 5.5 | 5.19 | Under Hit 2/3 | Good | Cleveland Guardians | 128 | 08-01 |
 Hunter Brown | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 1.67 | Over Hit 2/3 | Good |  Houston Astros | 105 | 08-01 |
| Hunter Brown | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 6.5 | 7.1 | Over Hit 2/3 | Good | Houston Astros | -102 | 08-01 |
 Jack Flaherty | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.62 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  Detroit Tigers | 115 | 08-01 |
| Jack Flaherty | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 4.5 | 6.52 | Under Hit 0/3 | Neutral | Detroit Tigers | 280 | 08-01 |
 Jack Leiter | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.33 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Texas Rangers | -110 | 08-01 |
| Jack Leiter | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 4.61 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Texas Rangers | -160 | 08-01 |
| Jack Leiter | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.5 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Texas Rangers | -190 | 08-01 |
 Janson Junk | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.83 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  Miami Marlins | -105 | 08-01 |
| Janson Junk | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 4.5 | 3.67 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Miami Marlins | -155 | 08-01 |
 Joe Ryan | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.81 | Over Hit 1/3 | Good |  Minnesota Twins | -165 | 08-01 |
| Joe Ryan | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 6.52 | Over Hit 1/3 | Good | Minnesota Twins | -140 | 08-01 |
 Jose Quintana | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.13 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Milwaukee Brewers | -150 | 08-01 |
| Jose Quintana | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 3.67 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Milwaukee Brewers | -200 | 08-01 |
 Logan Gilbert | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.93 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  Seattle Mariners | -155 | 08-01 |
| Logan Gilbert | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 7.5 | 7.5 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Seattle Mariners | 112 | 08-01 |
 Matthew Liberatore | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.47 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  St. Louis Cardinals | -125 | 08-01 |
| Matthew Liberatore | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.37 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | St. Louis Cardinals | -114 | 08-01 |
 Michael Wacha | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.19 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Kansas City Royals | -130 | 08-01 |
| Michael Wacha | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.29 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Kansas City Royals | -158 | 08-01 |
 Mitchell Parker | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.95 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Washington Nationals | 100 | 08-01 |
| Mitchell Parker | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 2.5 | 3.52 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Washington Nationals | 163 | 08-01 |
 Nick Pivetta | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.81 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad |  San Diego Padres | -150 | 08-01 |
| Nick Pivetta | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 6.24 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | San Diego Padres | -140 | 08-01 |
 Ranger Suarez | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.8 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Philadelphia Phillies | -170 | 08-01 |
| Ranger Suarez | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 4.5 | 6.0 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Philadelphia Phillies | 215 | 08-01 |
 Robbie Ray | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.91 | Under Hit 2/3 | Good |  San Francisco Giants | -135 | 08-01 |
| Robbie Ray | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 6.09 | Over Hit 1/3 | Good | San Francisco Giants | -152 | 08-01 |
 Shane Baz | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.9 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Tampa Bay Rays | 110 | 08-01 |
| Shane Baz | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 5.5 | 5.52 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Tampa Bay Rays | -150 | 08-01 |
 Trevor Rogers | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.0 | Under Hit 3/3 | Excellent |  Baltimore Orioles | -130 | 08-01 |
| Trevor Rogers | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 5.0 | Under Hit 1/3 | Excellent | Baltimore Orioles | 150 | 08-01 |
 Tyler Anderson | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.62 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Los Angeles Angels | -125 | 08-01 |
| Tyler Anderson | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 4.5 | 4.14 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Angels | -122 | 08-01 |
