Steven Matz props and projections

PTampa Bay Rays

Last gameMLB

Rays

MIL

WED · OCT 28

1.5 Pitcher Earned RunsO -175 | U +125 4.5 Pitcher StrikeoutsO +118 | U -144 Pitcher Walkshistory Pitcher Outshistory Pitcher Hits Allowedhistory

Steven Matz props and projections, Tampa Bay Rays: no line is priced today, but 5 markets carry the full game log, game by game, with a line you can move yourself.

Generate Winning Parlaywith AIGet Parlay

Prop analysis

The Over hit 2/15 in the last 15 games at a line of 1.5

Consensus line

1.5

Alt. line

1.5

Over hit rate

2/15 (13%)

Build your own

Add this pick to the parlay builder

Pick the side yourself and the price comes with it. Everything you add lands in the parlay builder and stays there until the game starts.

Open builder ›

Model prediction

Prediction, Trust, Edge, O.Def and expected minutes

One free pick per league stays open. The rest is for members.

Get membership

Steven Matz pitcher earned runs prop, last 15 games

Last 5 avg

0.2

Last 15 avg

0.3

2026 avg

1.2 41 games

vs DET avg

1.3 4 games

Games logged

96 (2025-26)

Steven Matz props we published

Date	Market	Line	Odds	Trust	Actual	Result
2026-06-02	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 4.5	-144 (1.69)	64%	2	WIN
2026-06-02	Pitcher Earned Runs	U 1.5	+125 (2.25)	45%	5	LOSS
2026-05-27	Pitcher Strikeouts	O 3.5	-215 (1.47)	64%	2	LOSS
2026-05-03	Pitcher Strikeouts	O 3.5	-225 (1.44)	75%	1	LOSS
2026-05-03	Pitcher Earned Runs	U 2.5	-158 (1.63)	67%	1	WIN
2026-04-27	Pitcher Earned Runs	U 2.5	-160 (1.63)	67%	2	WIN
2026-04-27	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 2.5	+320 (4.20)	32%	2	WIN

Unlock every pick

Every market, every league. Cancel anytime.

Get membership