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NBA cheat sheet for today

NBA cheat sheet for 2026-11-07, every player prop in one table: the line, the price, the last 15 games and how often it has cleared. Trust and edge are what the model thinks of it.

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646 picks14 teams2026-11-07 slate

Columns explained

Player: The player and the opponent they line up against today. Click any row to open the full breakdown.
Pos: The position the player is listed at today.
Market: The market the model has an opinion on, exactly as the book prices it.
Line: The number the book is offering on this market right now.
L15 avg: The player's own average in this market across their last 15 games, for comparison against the line.
Odds: American price on the side the model leans.
Prediction: Which side of the line the model leans. This is the product, so it is members only.
Trust: The model's trust that this side lands, calibrated against real results. Members only.
Edge: Expected return per unit staked, at this price: trust x decimal odds - 1. Positive edge means the price is better than the model's trust. Members only.
Opp. def: How much the opposing defense gives up in this exact market, graded A to F against the league average. A gives up the least (the toughest matchup), C is league average, F gives up the most (the softest). A tough defense helps an Under and works against an Over; a soft one does the opposite. Green means the matchup helps the pick, red means it works against it. Members only.
Exp min: How many minutes above or below their usual court time the player is expected to get. Members only.
Last 15 games: One bar per game, oldest on the left. Green finished above the line, red did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count below says how many of the 15 landed above it.
Team: The club the player suits up for.

Devin Bookervs Houston RocketsGThrees1.5→1.5—Over the line 9/15

Draymond Greenvs Orlando MagicF-CPts+Ast11.5→11.8—Under the line 9/15

Toumani Camaravs San Antonio SpursFPts+Reb+Ast17.5→16.7—Under the line 9/15

Alex Sarrvs Oklahoma City ThunderCPts+Reb+Ast21.5→18.5—Under the line 11/15

Kelly Oubre Jr.vs Denver NuggetsF-GRebounds3.5→4.3—Over the line 9/15

Aaron Nesmithvs Denver NuggetsG-FPts+Ast14.5→16.5—Over the line 9/15

Jamal Murrayvs Indiana PacersGReb+Ast10.5→10.9—Over the line 9/15

Isaiah Hartensteinvs Washington WizardsC-FPts+Ast11.5→11.1—Under the line 8/15

Devin Vassellvs Portland Trail BlazersG-FReb+Ast6.5→8.1—Over the line 10/15

Peyton Watsonvs New York KnicksGRebounds4.5→4.7—Over the line 8/15

Jalen Greenvs Houston RocketsGPts+Reb+Ast21.5↓23.7—Over the line 9/15

Jamal Murrayvs Indiana PacersGPts+Reb28.5↑29.5—Under the line 8/15

Dillon Brooksvs Houston RocketsG-FReb+Ast5.5→6.8—Over the line 10/15

Day'Ron Sharpevs Atlanta HawksCRebounds8.5→7.1—Under the line 13/15

Kevin Durantvs Phoenix SunsFThrees1.5→1.8—Over the line 9/15

Donovan Mitchellvs New York KnicksGThrees2.5→2.8—Under the line 9/15

Aaron Nesmithvs Denver NuggetsG-FReb+Ast4.5→3.9—Under the line 11/15

Draymond Greenvs Orlando MagicF-CAssists6.5→7—Over the line 8/15

Donovan Clinganvs San Antonio SpursCRebounds11.5↑9.7—Under the line 14/15

Donovan Clinganvs San Antonio SpursCReb+Ast13.5↑11.5—Under the line 12/15

Alex Sarrvs Oklahoma City ThunderCReb+Ast8.5→7.9—Under the line 9/15

Kevin Durantvs Phoenix SunsFRebounds4.5↓5.6—Over the line 11/15

De'Anthony Meltonvs Orlando MagicGPts+Ast10.5→13—Under the line 9/15

Jalen Greenvs Houston RocketsGAssists2.5→2.9—Over the line 8/15

Stephon Castlevs Portland Trail BlazersGRebounds4.5→5.7—Over the line 12/15

Isaiah Hartensteinvs Washington WizardsC-FAssists3.5→2.9—Under the line 10/15

Devin Vassellvs Portland Trail BlazersG-FThrees1.5→1.9—Under the line 8/15

Toumani Camaravs San Antonio SpursFRebounds3.5→4.1—Over the line 9/15

Kenrich Williamsvs Washington WizardsG-FThrees1.5→1.3—Under the line 10/15

Donovan Clinganvs San Antonio SpursCAssists1.5→1.9—Under the line 8/15

Anthony Davisvs Oklahoma City ThunderF-CBlocks1.5→1.3—Under the line 9/15

Devin Vassellvs Portland Trail BlazersG-FRebounds4.5→5.1—Over the line 8/15

Fred VanVleetvs Phoenix SunsGRebounds2.5↓3.4—Over the line 5/7

Luguentz Dortvs Brooklyn NetsGThrees1.5→1.5—Under the line 10/15

Kenrich Williamsvs Washington WizardsG-FReb+Ast6.5→4.3—Under the line 10/15

Alex Sarrvs Oklahoma City ThunderCBlocks1.5→1.5—Under the line 9/15

AJ Dybantsavs Oklahoma City ThunderFAssists2.5→2.2—Under the line 3/5

Nickeil Alexander-Walkervs Brooklyn NetsGSteals1.5→1.2—Under the line 11/15

Alex Sarrvs Oklahoma City ThunderCThrees0.5→1—Over the line 10/15

Kenrich Williamsvs Washington WizardsG-FPts+Ast10.5↑7.1—Under the line 11/15

Christian Braunvs Indiana PacersGSteals1.5→1.7—Over the line 8/15

Donovan Clinganvs San Antonio SpursCThrees1.5→1.1—Under the line 11/15

Jase Richardsonvs Golden State WarriorsGThrees1.5→0.6—Under the line 11/15

Fred VanVleetvs Phoenix SunsGSteals1.5→1.4—Under the line 4/7

Miles McBridevs Cleveland CavaliersGPts+Reb9.5→6.8—Under the line 12/15

Andre Drummondvs Cleveland CavaliersCPts+Reb13.5→10.1—Under the line 10/15

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How to read the NBA cheat sheet

What the NBA player prop cheat sheet columns mean

One row of the NBAplayer prop cheat sheet is one prop. It carries the market, the line, the price, the player's own average over the same window and a chart of their last 15 games against that exact line. Green bars finished above the line, red bars did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count under the chart says how many of the 15 landed above it.

What Trust and Edge mean

Trust is how strongly the model backs this side, on our own scale: higher means more confidence, and the top of the board is where it is highest. Edge is what the price is worth against the model's own read of it. A pick can be very likely and still lose money, which is why a high trust row is one where nothing in the inputs argues with anything else. How AI sports predictions work.

The matchup grade

The opponent column grades how the other side handles this exact market. A is the strongest defense and F the weakest; the model's own words for the scale are A Strong, B Good, C Neutral, E Weak. It is coloured against the pick, not on its own: a weak defense is green on an Over and red on an Under, a strong one the other way round.

Sorting, filtering and search

Members get the sheet in trust order, best call first. Without a membership the board is shuffled, so the order gives nothing away, and the free pick sits on top either way, since it is the highest trust on the board anyway. From there, sort by line to read it the way a board reads, by odds when you are shopping price, by games over the line when you want the form to do the talking, or by name when you already know who you are looking for. The market and team pickers narrow the table, and the search box matches player, team or market at once.

What is free and what is not

The board itself is free: every prop, every line, every price, every chart. What a membership unlocks is the model's judgement: which side it takes, its calibrated trust, the edge at that price, and how much it trusts the call, how the matchup grades and what it expects from the minutes. One pick per league stays fully open so you can see the whole thing before paying for it.

When it updates

The sheet is rebuilt from the morning slate and refreshed through the day as lines move. If a sport is out of season the page stays up and fills back in with the schedule.

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