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NFL cheat sheet for today

NFL cheat sheet for 2026-11-08, every player prop in one table: the line, the price, the last 15 games and how often it has cleared. Trust and edge are what the model thinks of it.

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796 picks19 teams2026-11-08 slate
796 rows · showing 46
Columns explained
Player
The player and the opponent they line up against today. Click any row to open the full breakdown.
Pos
The position the player is listed at today.
Market
The market the model has an opinion on, exactly as the book prices it.
Line
The number the book is offering on this market right now.
L15 avg
The player's own average in this market across their last 15 games, for comparison against the line.
Odds
American price on the side the model leans.
Prediction
Which side of the line the model leans. This is the product, so it is members only.
Trust
The model's trust that this side lands, calibrated against real results. Members only.
Edge
Expected return per unit staked, at this price: trust x decimal odds - 1. Positive edge means the price is better than the model's trust. Members only.
Matchup
How much the opposing defense gives up in this exact market, graded A to F against the league average. A gives up the least (the toughest matchup), C is league average, F gives up the most (the softest). A tough defense helps an Under and works against an Over; a soft one does the opposite. Green means the matchup helps the pick, red means it works against it. Members only.
Last 15 games
One bar per game, oldest on the left. Green finished above the line, red did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count below says how many of the 15 landed above it.
Team
The club the player suits up for.
Eli Stowersvs New York GiantsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 2/2
Darnell Mooneyvs Philadelphia EaglesWRAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Camden Brownvs Indianapolis ColtsWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 2/2
Jonnu Smithvs New England PatriotsTEAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
KhaDarel Hodgevs Las Vegas RaidersWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Luke Farrellvs Las Vegas RaidersTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Jonathan Mingovs Indianapolis ColtsWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Carter Runyonvs San Francisco 49ersTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 13/13
AJ Dillonvs Denver BroncosRBAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Dare Ogunbowalevs Los Angeles ChargersRBAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Jared Wileyvs New York JetsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 14/14
Ashton Dulinvs Dallas CowboysWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Hunter Luepkevs Indianapolis ColtsFBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Pierre Strong Jr.vs New England PatriotsRBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
James Mitchellvs Indianapolis ColtsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Cade Stovervs Los Angeles ChargersTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Dont'e Thornton Jr.vs San Francisco 49ersWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Trevor Etiennevs Denver BroncosRBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Geno Smithvs Kansas City ChiefsQBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Anthony Gouldvs Dallas CowboysWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Adam Trautmanvs Carolina PanthersTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Montorie Foster Jr.vs Arizona CardinalsWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 2/2
Drake Dabneyvs New England PatriotsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 2/2
Gardner Minshew IIvs Seattle SeahawksQBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Payne Durhamvs Chicago BearsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Drew Ogletreevs Dallas CowboysTEAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Brycen Tremaynevs Denver BroncosWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Cameron Latuvs Green Bay PackersTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Tyler Conklinvs Miami DolphinsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
DeAndre Cartervs Miami DolphinsWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Simi Fehokovs Seattle SeahawksWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Will Malloryvs Dallas CowboysTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Bo Meltonvs New England PatriotsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Elijah Moorevs New York GiantsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Matthew Staffordvs Washington CommandersQBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Jalin Hyattvs Philadelphia EaglesWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Jaydn Ottvs New York JetsRBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 2/2
Shawn Bowmanvs Seattle SeahawksTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 1/1
Devin Duvernayvs Seattle SeahawksWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Adam Prenticevs Carolina PanthersFBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Pharaoh Brownvs Dallas CowboysTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Ronnie Riversvs Washington CommandersRBAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Johnny Mundtvs New York GiantsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Brayden Willisvs Las Vegas RaidersTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Dareke Youngvs San Francisco 49ersWRAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 15/15
Justin Jolyvs Detroit LionsTEAnytime TD0.5→0—Under the line 1/1
Unlock Trust and Edge on every row

One free pick per league stays open. The rest of the model's judgement is for members.

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How to read the NFL cheat sheet

What the NFL player prop cheat sheet columns mean

One row of the NFLplayer prop cheat sheet is one prop. It carries the market, the line, the price, the player's own average over the same window and a chart of their last 15 games against that exact line. Green bars finished above the line, red bars did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count under the chart says how many of the 15 landed above it.

What Trust and Edge mean

Trust is how strongly the model backs this side, on our own scale: higher means more confidence, and the top of the board is where it is highest. Edge is what the price is worth against the model's own read of it. A pick can be very likely and still lose money, which is why a high trust row is one where nothing in the inputs argues with anything else. How AI sports predictions work.

The matchup grade

The opponent column grades how the other side handles this exact market. A is the strongest defense and F the weakest; the model's own words for the scale are A Strong, B Good, C Neutral, E Weak. It is coloured against the pick, not on its own: a weak defense is green on an Over and red on an Under, a strong one the other way round.

Sorting, filtering and search

Members get the sheet in trust order, best call first. Without a membership the board is shuffled, so the order gives nothing away, and the free pick sits on top either way, since it is the highest trust on the board anyway. From there, sort by line to read it the way a board reads, by odds when you are shopping price, by games over the line when you want the form to do the talking, or by name when you already know who you are looking for. The market and team pickers narrow the table, and the search box matches player, team or market at once.

What is free and what is not

The board itself is free: every prop, every line, every price, every chart. What a membership unlocks is the model's judgement: which side it takes, its calibrated trust, the edge at that price, and how much it trusts the call, how the matchup grades and what it expects from the minutes. One pick per league stays fully open so you can see the whole thing before paying for it.

When it updates

The sheet is rebuilt from the morning slate and refreshed through the day as lines move. If a sport is out of season the page stays up and fills back in with the schedule.