Jake Ferguson props and projections

TEDAL

Last gameNFL

DAL

FRI · OCT 9

0.5 Anytime TD 27.5 Receiving YardsO -111 | U -113 3.5 ReceptionsO -104 | U -122 Rushing Yardshistory Rush Attemptshistory

Jake Ferguson props and projections for 2026-10-08, DAL against Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3 markets priced today, plus 2 more with the full game log and a line you can move yourself.

Prop analysis

The Over hit 4/15 in the last 15 games at a line of 0.5

Consensus line

0.5

Alt. line

0.5

Over hit rate

4/15 (27%)

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Jake Ferguson anytime td prop, last 15 games

Line

0.5 (O)

Over

—

Under

—

Games logged

55 (2023-26)

Jake Ferguson props we published

Date	Market	Line	Odds	Trust	Actual	Result
2026-10-08	Receiving Yards	U 27.5	-113 (1.88)	68%	19	WIN
2026-10-08	Receptions	U 3.5	-122 (1.82)	65%	3	WIN
2026-10-08	Anytime TD	O 0.5	+205 (3.05)	42%	0	LOSS
2026-10-04	Anytime TD	O 0.5	+330 (4.30)	35%	0	LOSS
2026-10-04	Receiving Yards	U 24.5	-109 (1.92)	64%	11	WIN
2026-10-04	Receptions	U 3.5	-118 (1.85)	65%	3	WIN
2026-09-27	Receiving Yards	U 28.5	-110 (1.91)	67%	23	WIN
2026-09-27	Anytime TD	O 0.5	+260 (3.60)	39%	1	WIN
2026-09-27	Receptions	U 3.5	-101 (1.99)	59%	3	WIN
2026-09-20	Receiving Yards	U 26.5	-114 (1.88)	65%	43	LOSS
2026-09-20	Receptions	U 3.5	-139 (1.72)	66%	4	LOSS
2026-09-20	Anytime TD	O 0.5	+265 (3.65)	35%	2	WIN
2026-09-13	Receptions	U 3.5	-111 (1.90)	69%	2	WIN
2026-09-13	Receiving Yards	U 28.5	-108 (1.93)	66%	6	WIN
2026-09-13	Anytime TD	O 0.5	+285 (3.85)	32%	0	LOSS

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