Preview: San Francisco Giants vs. Toronto Blue Jays – July 19, 2025
As we head into the mid-summer classic stretch, the upcoming interleague matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Toronto Blue Jays on July 19, 2025, promises to be a matchup with significant implications for both teams. The game, set under the bright lights of Rogers Centre, will see two teams vying for pivotal positions in their respective league standings.
Analysis Content
Standings and Context
As of now, the San Francisco Giants find themselves in a heated race in the National League West. With a record of 56-45, they currently hold second place, just two games behind the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The Giants are not only battling for the division title but are also very much in the Wild Card picture, making each game crucial as they look to return to the postseason.
Across the border, the Toronto Blue Jays have emerged as one of the frontrunners in the American League East. Sitting at 58-43, the Blue Jays are in a tight contest with the New York Yankees for division supremacy, with a mere game separating the two clubs. The Jays are also fending off the Tampa Bay Rays, ensuring the division remains one of the most fiercely contested in baseball.
Recent Performance
San Francisco Giants
The Giants enter this matchup having won six of their last ten games. Recent series victories over divisional rivals, such as the Arizona Diamondbacks, have bolstered their confidence. Noteworthy was their sweep against the Colorado Rockies, where outstanding pitching performances were the highlight. The Giants’ bullpen has shown resilience, bouncing back from a couple of shaky outings earlier in the month.
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays also boast a 6-4 record over their last ten games. They have exhibited a potent combination of power and pitching, evident in their recent series victory over the Boston Red Sox. The offense, led by some key contributors, has been particularly explosive, scoring ten or more runs in three of their last five wins. The team has shown a knack for late-inning comebacks, a testament to their depth and tenacity.
Head-to-Head History
In the current season series, the Giants and Blue Jays are tied at 1-1, each taking a game during their previous interleague meeting in San Francisco. Historically, the Giants have had the upper hand, winning seven of the last ten meetings between these two teams. This trend adds an interesting layer as they clash again, especially with season series bragging rights on the line.
Pitching Matchups
The Giants are expected to send Logan Webb to the mound. Webb has been a stalwart in the Giants’ rotation this year, boasting a 3.45 ERA with a WHIP of 1.12 in 125 innings. His strikeouts per nine innings (K/9) stand at 8.9, which speaks to his ability to challenge hitters. Webb’s last outing against the Dodgers saw him deliver seven innings of one-run ball, a performance he aims to replicate against Toronto.
For the Blue Jays, Alek Manoah will be the likely starter. Manoah has emerged as a cornerstone of the Blue Jays’ staff, currently holding a 3.28 ERA and a WHIP of 1.09. His K/9 is an impressive 9.4, reflecting his dominance on the mound. Manoah has been especially effective at home, where his ERA drops to an impressive 2.75. In his last start, he allowed just two runs over six innings against the Yankees, further cementing his reputation as a big-game pitcher.
Key Position-Player Matchups
San Francisco Giants
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Brandon Crawford: The veteran shortstop is having a resurgent season, hitting .285 with an OPS of .810, along with 15 home runs and 55 RBIs. His experience and leadership will be crucial against Manoah.
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Mike Yastrzemski: Leading the team with 22 home runs, Yastrzemski’s slugging percentage of .520 makes him a constant home run threat.
Toronto Blue Jays
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: The young slugger continues to be a force, posting a .315 average with an OPS of .950, 28 home runs, and 70 RBIs. Webb will need to navigate carefully, given Guerrero’s knack for punishing mistakes.
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Bo Bichette: With a batting average of .300 and 20 home runs, Bichette provides speed and power, making him a difficult out at the top of the order.
Situational Factors
The game will take place at the Rogers Centre, known for being a hitter-friendly park, with its retractable roof ensuring that weather won’t play a factor. The forecast predicts mild temperatures, which should be ideal for baseball. Both teams report relatively healthy rosters, though the Giants will miss outfield depth with an injury to Joc Pederson, currently on the 10-day IL.
Advanced Metrics
For the Giants, Logan Webb’s Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) stands at an impressive 3.30, suggesting that his solid performance isn’t merely a result of defensive support but also his ability to control games. Similarly, Mike Yastrzemski’s Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+) of 135 highlights his offensive contributions, well above league average.
The Blue Jays boast Alek Manoah’s FIP of 3.10, indicating that his ERA is supported by strong underlying performance. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s Wins Above Replacement (WAR) of 4.8 underscores his impact and all-around value to the Jays.
Prediction
Given the recent form and home advantage, I predict a close contest with the Toronto Blue Jays edging out a victory with a final score of 5-4. I’m 65% confident in this outcome, largely due to the Jays’ solid home records, coupled with Manoah’s home dominance and Guerrero’s offensive prowess. The Giants will likely keep it competitive, but the Blue Jays’ combination of pitching and power may prove to be the deciding factor.
| Player Name | Prop | Prediction | Line | Trends | Last 3 Games | Wind | Team | Odds | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Austin Gomber | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 3.5 | 3.2 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Colorado Rockies | -125 | 07-13 |
| Austin Gomber | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 2.5 | 2.2 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Colorado Rockies | 200 | 07-13 |
| Austin Gomber | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.0 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Colorado Rockies | -165 | 07-13 |
 Brandon Young | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 3.0 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Baltimore Orioles | -105 | 07-13 |
| Brandon Young | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.2 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Baltimore Orioles | -375 | 07-13 |
| Brandon Young | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.2 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | Baltimore Orioles | 120 | 07-13 |
 Brayan Bello | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.07 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Boston Red Sox | -105 | 07-13 |
| Brayan Bello | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.33 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | Boston Red Sox | -205 | 07-13 |
| Brayan Bello | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.27 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | Boston Red Sox | -160 | 07-13 |
 Clay Holmes | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.5 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  New York Mets | -205 | 07-13 |
 Cristopher Sanchez | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 1.72 | Under Hit 3/3 | Bad |  Philadelphia Phillies | 130 | 07-13 |
| Cristopher Sanchez | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.44 | Over Hit 3/3 | Bad | Philadelphia Phillies | -140 | 07-13 |
| Cristopher Sanchez | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.61 | Under Hit 3/3 | Bad | Philadelphia Phillies | -170 | 07-13 |
 Freddy Peralta | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.68 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Milwaukee Brewers | -170 | 07-13 |
| Freddy Peralta | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 5.84 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Milwaukee Brewers | -235 | 07-13 |
| Freddy Peralta | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.89 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Milwaukee Brewers | 125 | 07-13 |
 Hunter Brown | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.5 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Houston Astros | -125 | 07-13 |
| Hunter Brown | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 7.17 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Houston Astros | -420 | 07-13 |
| Hunter Brown | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.78 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Houston Astros | 110 | 07-13 |
 Jack Flaherty | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.78 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Detroit Tigers | 110 | 07-13 |
| Jack Flaherty | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.5 | Over Hit 3/3 | Bad | Detroit Tigers | -400 | 07-13 |
| Jack Flaherty | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.11 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Detroit Tigers | -175 | 07-13 |
 Jake Irvin | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 3.11 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Washington Nationals | -160 | 07-13 |
| Jake Irvin | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.11 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Washington Nationals | -375 | 07-13 |
| Jake Irvin | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.95 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Washington Nationals | -160 | 07-13 |
 Jeffrey Springs | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.37 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Oakland Athletics | 115 | 07-13 |
| Jeffrey Springs | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.26 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Oakland Athletics | -375 | 07-13 |
| Jeffrey Springs | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.0 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Oakland Athletics | -190 | 07-13 |
 Joey Cantillo | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 0.65 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Cleveland Guardians | 130 | 07-13 |
| Joey Cantillo | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 2.09 | Under Hit 0/3 | Neutral | Cleveland Guardians | 290 | 07-13 |
| Joey Cantillo | pitcher_walks | Under | 2.5 | 0.87 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Cleveland Guardians | -190 | 07-13 |
 Jose Berrios | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.32 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Toronto Blue Jays | 100 | 07-13 |
| Jose Berrios | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.05 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Toronto Blue Jays | -385 | 07-13 |
| Jose Berrios | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.05 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Toronto Blue Jays | -110 | 07-13 |
 Jose Soriano | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.53 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Los Angeles Angels | -105 | 07-13 |
| Jose Soriano | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 4.5 | 5.0 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Angels | 104 | 07-13 |
| Jose Soriano | pitcher_walks | Over | 2.5 | 2.74 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Angels | -105 | 07-13 |
 Logan Gilbert | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 2.09 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Seattle Mariners | -180 | 07-13 |
| Logan Gilbert | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 7.18 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Seattle Mariners | -250 | 07-13 |
| Logan Gilbert | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.18 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Seattle Mariners | 110 | 07-13 |
 Merrill Kelly | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.21 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Arizona Diamondbacks | -135 | 07-13 |
| Merrill Kelly | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 5.5 | 5.63 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Arizona Diamondbacks | -105 | 07-13 |
| Merrill Kelly | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.53 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Arizona Diamondbacks | -105 | 07-13 |
 Mitch Keller | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.37 | Under Hit 3/3 | Very Poor |  Pittsburgh Pirates | -110 | 07-13 |
| Mitch Keller | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.68 | Over Hit 3/3 | Very Poor | Pittsburgh Pirates | -420 | 07-13 |
| Mitch Keller | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.42 | Under Hit 3/3 | Very Poor | Pittsburgh Pirates | -145 | 07-13 |
 Nathan Eovaldi | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 1.0 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Texas Rangers | 130 | 07-13 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.73 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Texas Rangers | -385 | 07-13 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 0.87 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Texas Rangers | -190 | 07-13 |
 Nick Martinez | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.85 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Cincinnati Reds | -125 | 07-13 |
| Nick Martinez | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 3.65 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Cincinnati Reds | 225 | 07-13 |
| Nick Martinez | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.2 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Cincinnati Reds | 160 | 07-13 |
 Nick Pivetta | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.94 | Under Hit 3/3 | Bad |  San Diego Padres | -155 | 07-13 |
| Nick Pivetta | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 6.33 | Over Hit 3/3 | Bad | San Diego Padres | -160 | 07-13 |
| Nick Pivetta | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.5 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad | San Diego Padres | -105 | 07-13 |
 Noah Cameron | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.64 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Kansas City Royals | -140 | 07-13 |
| Noah Cameron | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.55 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Kansas City Royals | -205 | 07-13 |
| Noah Cameron | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.82 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Kansas City Royals | 110 | 07-13 |
 Robbie Ray | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.74 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  San Francisco Giants | -125 | 07-13 |
| Robbie Ray | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.42 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | San Francisco Giants | -275 | 07-13 |
| Robbie Ray | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.21 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | San Francisco Giants | -180 | 07-13 |
 Ryan Pepiot | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.11 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Tampa Bay Rays | -105 | 07-13 |
| Ryan Pepiot | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 5.63 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Tampa Bay Rays | -230 | 07-13 |
| Ryan Pepiot | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.89 | Over Hit 3/3 | Bad | Tampa Bay Rays | -145 | 07-13 |
 Shota Imanaga | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.73 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Chicago Cubs | 105 | 07-13 |
| Shota Imanaga | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 3.82 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Chicago Cubs | -375 | 07-13 |
| Shota Imanaga | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.36 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Chicago Cubs | -165 | 07-13 |
 Simeon Woods Richardson | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.21 | Under Hit 3/3 | Very Poor |  Minnesota Twins | -165 | 07-13 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.21 | Over Hit 3/3 | Very Poor | Minnesota Twins | -500 | 07-13 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.93 | Over Hit 2/3 | Very Poor | Minnesota Twins | -135 | 07-13 |
 Sonny Gray | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 2.28 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  St. Louis Cardinals | -150 | 07-13 |
| Sonny Gray | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 6.28 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | St. Louis Cardinals | 120 | 07-13 |
| Sonny Gray | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.06 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | St. Louis Cardinals | -140 | 07-13 |
 Will Warren | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.47 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  New York Yankees | -150 | 07-13 |
| Will Warren | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.84 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | New York Yankees | -385 | 07-13 |
| Will Warren | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.16 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | New York Yankees | -200 | 07-13 |
 Yoshinobu Yamamoto | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 1.67 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  Los Angeles Dodgers | -155 | 07-13 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.06 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Dodgers | -240 | 07-13 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.89 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Dodgers | -160 | 07-13 |
