Game Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Angels
Introduction to the Matchup
On July 11, 2025, the Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Los Angeles Angels in what promises to be a crucial game for both teams as the MLB season enters its second half. As we approach the All-Star break, every game counts, and both teams are eager to improve their standings in their respective divisions. The Diamondbacks, currently sitting in the upper echelon of the National League West, are vying for a divisional title, while the Angels are fighting to stay in the playoff race in the competitive American League West. This interleague matchup is more than just a meeting of two teams; it’s a pivotal moment that could impact postseason aspirations.
Recent Performance
Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks have been a team on the rise, with their last ten games showcasing a solid 7-3 record. This recent stretch includes a five-game winning streak that was only halted by a narrow loss against the San Francisco Giants. During this streak, the Diamondbacks’ offense came alive, averaging over six runs per game. Key victories came against divisional rivals, boosting their confidence as they head into this interleague challenge.
Los Angeles Angels
On the other hand, the Angels have encountered turbulence, posting a 4-6 record over their last ten games. This stretch included a three-game slide against the Texas Rangers. The Angels’ struggles can be attributed to inconsistent pitching and a lineup that has been uneven at best. However, a recent series victory against the Seattle Mariners has injected some optimism into the Angels’ clubhouse, and they hope to build on that momentum against Arizona.
Head-to-Head History
The season series between the Diamondbacks and Angels has been tightly contested. Entering this matchup, Arizona holds a slight edge, having won three out of five games against Los Angeles this season. Historically, the Diamondbacks have had a slight upper hand, winning seven of the last twelve encounters. Arizona’s knack for capitalizing on key matchups has often turned the tide in these contests.
Pitching Matchups
Arizona Diamondbacks: Zac Gallen
Arizona will send Zac Gallen to the mound, a pitcher who has been their ace throughout the season. Gallen boasts a remarkable 3.12 ERA with a WHIP of 1.10 and averages 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gallen delivered a masterful performance against the Padres, going eight innings while allowing just one run. Gallen’s ability to mix his pitches and maintain control has been instrumental in his success, and he looks to continue his dominance against an Angels lineup that has been hot and cold.
Los Angeles Angels: Shohei Ohtani
The Angels counter with Shohei Ohtani, their dual-threat superstar. On the mound, Ohtani holds a 3.41 ERA and a WHIP of 1.15, with an impressive strikeout rate of 11.3 per nine innings. Ohtani’s last start saw him pitch seven strong innings against the Mariners, striking out ten and yielding only two earned runs. However, the Angels are mindful of Ohtani’s workload given his dual responsibilities, and there is always a cloud of injury concern given his history.
Key Position-Player Matchups
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Ketel Marte: Marte has been a consistent force in the Diamondbacks lineup, boasting a .295 batting average with an OPS of .845, 15 home runs, and 60 RBIs. His ability to switch-hit is crucial against Ohtani, who can be tricky for right-handed batters.
- Corbin Carroll: The young outfielder has been electric this season, posting a .287 average with an OPS of .910. Carroll’s speed and on-base ability (.380 OBP) make him a constant threat.
Los Angeles Angels
- Mike Trout: Although Trout’s season average is slightly below his career norm at .280, he remains a major power threat with 25 home runs and an OPS of .920. His history of success against the Diamondbacks’ pitching staff makes him a focal point.
- Shohei Ohtani: At the plate, Ohtani is hitting .305 with a slugging percentage of .620. His dual ability makes him a unique challenge, as his offensive prowess can single-handedly change a game’s outcome.
Situational Factors
The game will be played at Angel Stadium, a venue known for its neutral park factors. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with temperatures in the mid-70s and little wind, ideal for a quality baseball game. Both teams are relatively healthy, with no significant injuries impacting their starting lineups, though the Angels will be cautious with Ohtani’s workload.
Advanced Metrics
Arizona Diamondbacks
- wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created Plus): The Diamondbacks hold a collective 112 wRC+, indicating that their lineup is 12% better than league average offensively. This stat highlights their ability to create runs efficiently.
- FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching): Zac Gallen’s FIP of 2.95 suggests that his ERA is well-supported by his ability to control walks, home runs, and strikeouts, reinforcing his reliability on the mound.
Los Angeles Angels
- WAR (Wins Above Replacement): Shohei Ohtani’s dual contribution is captured by his 6.5 WAR, one of the highest in the league, underscoring his invaluable presence to the Angels’ success.
- BABIP (Batting Average on Balls in Play): The Angels’ team BABIP is .310, slightly above league average, indicating that their offensive production may be due for some regression.
Prediction
Given the analysis, this game promises to be a tight contest. Arizona’s recent form and the steady hand of Zac Gallen give them a slight edge. While Shohei Ohtani’s dual-threat capabilities make him a formidable opponent, the depth and balance of the Diamondbacks’ lineup, coupled with Gallen’s pitching, should secure a narrow victory.
Projected Final Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5, Los Angeles Angels 4.
Confidence Level: I’m 65% confident the Diamondbacks will emerge victorious, given their current form and Gallen’s stellar presence on the mound.
| Player Name | Prop | Prediction | Line | Trends | Last 3 Games | Wind | Team | Odds | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brandon Young | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 3.25 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Baltimore Orioles | -155 | 07-08 |
| Brandon Young | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 3.75 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Baltimore Orioles | -305 | 07-08 |
| Brandon Young | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.75 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Baltimore Orioles | -145 | 07-08 |
 Brayan Bello | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.07 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Boston Red Sox | -145 | 07-08 |
| Brayan Bello | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 3.93 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | Boston Red Sox | -385 | 07-08 |
| Brayan Bello | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.36 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | Boston Red Sox | -150 | 07-08 |
 Chris Bassitt | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.67 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Toronto Blue Jays | 120 | 07-08 |
| Chris Bassitt | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.67 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Toronto Blue Jays | -360 | 07-08 |
| Chris Bassitt | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.56 | Under Hit 1/3 | Bad | Toronto Blue Jays | 110 | 07-08 |
 Clay Holmes | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.82 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  New York Mets | -135 | 07-08 |
| Clay Holmes | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.47 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | New York Mets | -275 | 07-08 |
| Clay Holmes | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.29 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | New York Mets | -180 | 07-08 |
 Clayton Kershaw | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.89 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Los Angeles Dodgers | -155 | 07-08 |
| Clayton Kershaw | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 3.56 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Dodgers | -480 | 07-08 |
| Clayton Kershaw | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.56 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Dodgers | -115 | 07-08 |
 Hunter Brown | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 1.24 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Houston Astros | -110 | 07-08 |
| Hunter Brown | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 7.41 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Houston Astros | -335 | 07-08 |
| Hunter Brown | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.71 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Houston Astros | 135 | 07-08 |
 Jack Flaherty | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 2.82 | Over Hit 3/3 | Good |  Detroit Tigers | -170 | 07-08 |
| Jack Flaherty | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.41 | Over Hit 2/3 | Good | Detroit Tigers | -295 | 07-08 |
| Jack Flaherty | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.18 | Over Hit 3/3 | Good | Detroit Tigers | -160 | 07-08 |
 Jacob Misiorowski | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.75 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Milwaukee Brewers | -185 | 07-08 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.25 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Milwaukee Brewers | -400 | 07-08 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 2.5 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Milwaukee Brewers | -170 | 07-08 |
 Jake Irvin | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 3.06 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Washington Nationals | -150 | 07-08 |
| Jake Irvin | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.17 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Washington Nationals | -265 | 07-08 |
 Jeffrey Springs | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.44 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Oakland Athletics | 115 | 07-08 |
| Jeffrey Springs | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 4.5 | 4.39 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Oakland Athletics | -115 | 07-08 |
| Jeffrey Springs | pitcher_walks | Under | 2.5 | 2.06 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Oakland Athletics | -190 | 07-08 |
 Joey Cantillo | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 0.55 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Cleveland Guardians | 125 | 07-08 |
| Joey Cantillo | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 3.5 | 1.86 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Cleveland Guardians | 188 | 07-08 |
| Joey Cantillo | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 0.77 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Cleveland Guardians | 145 | 07-08 |
 Jose Soriano | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.39 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  Los Angeles Angels | 100 | 07-08 |
| Jose Soriano | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.06 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Angels | -375 | 07-08 |
| Jose Soriano | pitcher_walks | Over | 2.5 | 2.61 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Los Angeles Angels | 125 | 07-08 |
 Kyle Freeland | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 3.5 | 3.19 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Colorado Rockies | -145 | 07-08 |
| Kyle Freeland | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 3.81 | Over Hit 1/3 | Bad | Colorado Rockies | -210 | 07-08 |
| Kyle Freeland | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.25 | Under Hit 0/3 | Bad | Colorado Rockies | -170 | 07-08 |
 Logan Gilbert | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.9 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  Seattle Mariners | -130 | 07-08 |
| Logan Gilbert | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 5.5 | 7.4 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Seattle Mariners | -315 | 07-08 |
| Logan Gilbert | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.1 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Seattle Mariners | -135 | 07-08 |
 Merrill Kelly | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 2.5 | 2.28 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad |  Arizona Diamondbacks | -105 | 07-08 |
| Merrill Kelly | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 5.72 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Arizona Diamondbacks | -230 | 07-08 |
| Merrill Kelly | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.61 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | Arizona Diamondbacks | -105 | 07-08 |
 Mitch Keller | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.39 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Pittsburgh Pirates | -110 | 07-08 |
| Mitch Keller | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.67 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Pittsburgh Pirates | -480 | 07-08 |
| Mitch Keller | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.44 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Pittsburgh Pirates | 145 | 07-08 |
 Nathan Eovaldi | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 1.07 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Texas Rangers | 130 | 07-08 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 5.71 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Texas Rangers | -360 | 07-08 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 0.93 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Texas Rangers | -160 | 07-08 |
 Nick Martinez | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.47 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Cincinnati Reds | 110 | 07-08 |
| Nick Martinez | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 3.74 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral | Cincinnati Reds | -455 | 07-08 |
| Nick Martinez | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.11 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Cincinnati Reds | -200 | 07-08 |
 Nick Pivetta | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 1.5 | 2.06 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad |  San Diego Padres | 120 | 07-08 |
| Nick Pivetta | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.29 | Over Hit 2/3 | Bad | San Diego Padres | -335 | 07-08 |
| Nick Pivetta | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.41 | Under Hit 2/3 | Bad | San Diego Padres | -130 | 07-08 |
 Robbie Ray | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.78 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  San Francisco Giants | -145 | 07-08 |
| Robbie Ray | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 6.5 | 6.5 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral | San Francisco Giants | -120 | 07-08 |
 Ryan Pepiot | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.11 | Under Hit 2/3 | Good |  Tampa Bay Rays | -150 | 07-08 |
| Ryan Pepiot | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 5.61 | Over Hit 2/3 | Good | Tampa Bay Rays | -245 | 07-08 |
| Ryan Pepiot | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.83 | Over Hit 3/3 | Good | Tampa Bay Rays | -150 | 07-08 |
 Seth Lugo | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.75 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Kansas City Royals | -160 | 07-08 |
| Seth Lugo | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 5.19 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Kansas City Royals | -295 | 07-08 |
| Seth Lugo | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.88 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Kansas City Royals | -110 | 07-08 |
 Shota Imanaga | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.7 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Chicago Cubs | -120 | 07-08 |
| Shota Imanaga | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 3.5 | 4.1 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Chicago Cubs | -400 | 07-08 |
| Shota Imanaga | pitcher_walks | Under | 1.5 | 1.5 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Chicago Cubs | -190 | 07-08 |
 Simeon Woods Richardson | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.38 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  Minnesota Twins | 100 | 07-08 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 2.5 | 4.23 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Minnesota Twins | -420 | 07-08 |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | pitcher_walks | Over | 1.5 | 1.85 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | Minnesota Twins | -200 | 07-08 |
 Sonny Gray | pitcher_earned_runs | Over | 1.5 | 2.29 | Over Hit 1/3 | Neutral |  St. Louis Cardinals | -130 | 07-08 |
| Sonny Gray | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 6.29 | Over Hit 3/3 | Neutral | St. Louis Cardinals | -250 | 07-08 |
 Taijuan Walker | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 1.16 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral |  Philadelphia Phillies | -175 | 07-08 |
| Taijuan Walker | pitcher_strikeouts | Under | 2.5 | 2.42 | Under Hit 3/3 | Neutral | Philadelphia Phillies | 115 | 07-08 |
 Will Warren | pitcher_earned_runs | Under | 2.5 | 2.61 | Under Hit 2/3 | Neutral |  New York Yankees | -115 | 07-08 |
| Will Warren | pitcher_strikeouts | Over | 4.5 | 5.94 | Over Hit 2/3 | Neutral | New York Yankees | -278 | 07-08 |
| Will Warren | pitcher_walks | Under | 2.5 | 2.17 | Under Hit 1/3 | Neutral | New York Yankees | -165 | 07-08 |
