Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction – MLB Preview, Picks & Analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction - MLB Preview, Picks & Analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox: July 26, 2025, Preview and Prediction

As the MLB season strides into late July, the Los Angeles Dodgers gear up to face the Boston Red Sox in an electrifying interleague matchup on July 26, 2025. Both teams find themselves in the thick of their respective division races, making this game not just a clash of iconic franchises but a critical contest in the playoff picture. The Dodgers, leading the NL West, aim to solidify their position, while the Red Sox, currently second in the AL East, are battling fiercely for a spot in the postseason.

Recent Performance Analysis

Los Angeles Dodgers:

The Dodgers have been on a solid run over their last ten games, posting a respectable 7-3 record. Their recent series against the San Francisco Giants showcased their resilience, as they took three out of four games, highlighted by a thrilling 9th-inning comeback in the series finale. The Dodgers’ offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging 6.2 runs per game during this stretch, with Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman leading the charge.

Boston Red Sox:

Conversely, the Red Sox have experienced a rocky patch, going 4-6 in their last ten outings. They recently faced a tough series against the New York Yankees, managing to salvage the final game to avoid a sweep. Despite the challenges, standout performances from Rafael Devers and J.D. Martinez have kept Boston’s playoff hopes alive. However, their bullpen has been a point of concern, particularly in late innings where they’ve struggled to maintain leads.

Head-to-Head History

This season, the Dodgers and Red Sox have split their two meetings, with each team securing a win in their home ballpark. Historically, the Dodgers have had the upper hand in recent years, winning six out of the last ten matchups. However, the Fenway faithful know that the Red Sox are always a formidable opponent at home, where they boast one of the best records in the league.

Pitching Matchups

Los Angeles Dodgers: Julio Urías

The Dodgers will send Julio Urías to the mound, who holds a 3.45 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP with 125 strikeouts over 110 innings this season. Urías has been a model of consistency, known for his ability to mix pitches effectively and keep hitters off balance. In his last start against the San Diego Padres, he pitched seven strong innings, allowing just two hits and no earned runs.

Boston Red Sox: Chris Sale

Boston counters with veteran lefty Chris Sale, who has been resurgent this season with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, tallying 130 strikeouts in 105 innings. Sale’s slider remains one of the most devastating pitches in baseball, and he showed vintage form in his recent outing against the Tampa Bay Rays, striking out twelve over eight innings of one-run ball.

Key Position-Player Matchups

Dodgers: Mookie Betts & Freddie Freeman

Mookie Betts, with a .312 batting average and an OPS of .984, has been a catalyst atop the Dodgers lineup. His 25 home runs and 70 RBIs underscore his power and run production. Freeman complements Betts with a .330 average and .950 OPS, bringing his own blend of contact and power, as evidenced by his 24 homers and 78 RBIs. Both hitters have a knack for performing in clutch situations and will pose a tough challenge for Sale.

Red Sox: Rafael Devers & J.D. Martinez

Rafael Devers has carried much of the Red Sox offense, batting .290 with a .930 OPS, along with 28 home runs and 85 RBIs. J.D. Martinez, despite a slight dip in power, remains a constant threat with a .288 average and .880 OPS. Both hitters have excellent track records against left-handed pitching, which could be crucial against Urías.

Situational Factors

The game is set at Fenway Park, favoring the Red Sox, who have excelled at home with a 35-17 record. The Green Monster can be a game-changer, particularly for hitters like Betts and Devers, who can exploit its dimensions. Weather forecasts predict clear skies with mild temperatures, creating ideal conditions for a high-scoring affair.

Injury-wise, the Dodgers are without key reliever Brusdar Graterol, out with a sore shoulder, which may impact their bullpen depth. The Red Sox have concerns as well, with outfielder Alex Verdugo nursing a tight hamstring, possibly limiting his availability.

Advanced Metrics

The Dodgers possess a team wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created Plus) of 118, indicating an offense significantly above league average. Their collective FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) of 3.85 suggests their pitching staff has been effective independent of defensive support.

For the Red Sox, a team wRC+ of 112 reflects their potent offense, while their FIP of 4.05 highlights some vulnerabilities in their pitching, primarily from the bullpen.

Prediction

Given the current form and situational dynamics, this game promises to be tightly contested. The Dodgers’ potent offense and Urías’s reliability on the mound give them a slight edge. However, playing at Fenway and Sale’s recent resurgence can’t be overlooked.

Projected Final Score: Dodgers 5, Red Sox 4
Confidence Level: 60%

The Dodgers’ ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and their bullpen depth should see them edging out the Red Sox in a nail-biter. Nonetheless, the unpredictability of Fenway, coupled with Boston’s home-field prowess, ensures that this game will be anything but straightforward.

Today MLB Pitcher Prop Bets Generator

Player NamePropPredictionLineTrendsLast 3 GamesWindTeamOddsDate
Austin GomberAustin Gomber
pitcher_earned_runsOver3.53.38Over Hit 2/3Good
Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies
-11008-02
Austin GomberAustin Gomber
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder2.52.75Under Hit 1/3Good
Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies
16308-02
Austin GomberAustin Gomber
pitcher_walksOver1.51.25Over Hit 2/3Good
Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies
14508-02
Bailey OberBailey Ober
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.53.18Over Hit 3/3Good
Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins
-10508-02
Bailey OberBailey Ober
pitcher_strikeoutsOver3.54.35Over Hit 3/3Good
Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins
-16008-02
Bailey OberBailey Ober
pitcher_walksUnder0.51.29Under Hit 2/3Good
Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins
15508-02
Blake SnellBlake Snell
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder4.52.0Under Hit 2/2Neutral
Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers
16308-02
Blake SnellBlake Snell
pitcher_walksOver1.54.0Over Hit 2/2Neutral
Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers
-18008-02
Brandon WoodruffBrandon Woodruff
pitcher_earned_runsUnder1.51.25Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
11008-02
Brandon WoodruffBrandon Woodruff
pitcher_strikeoutsOver5.57.25Over Hit 2/3Neutral
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
-13008-02
Brandon WoodruffBrandon Woodruff
pitcher_walksUnder0.50.75Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
18508-02
Chase BurnsChase Burns
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.53.17Over Hit 2/3Neutral
Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds
12008-02
Chase BurnsChase Burns
pitcher_strikeoutsOver7.57.5Over Hit 3/3Neutral
Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds
11008-02
Chase BurnsChase Burns
pitcher_walksOver1.52.0Over Hit 2/3Neutral
Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds
-13008-02
Drew RasmussenDrew Rasmussen
pitcher_earned_runsUnder2.51.57Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays
-16508-02
Drew RasmussenDrew Rasmussen
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder3.54.14Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays
15008-02
Drew RasmussenDrew Rasmussen
pitcher_walksUnder1.51.19Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays
-18008-02
Jake IrvinJake Irvin
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.53.0Over Hit 1/3Neutral
Washington NationalsWashington Nationals
-14508-02
Jake IrvinJake Irvin
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder3.53.91Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Washington NationalsWashington Nationals
11508-02
Jake IrvinJake Irvin
pitcher_walksOver1.51.86Over Hit 1/3Neutral
Washington NationalsWashington Nationals
-15008-02
Jt GinnJt Ginn
pitcher_earned_runsUnder2.51.46Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Oakland AthleticsOakland Athletics
-13008-02
Jt GinnJt Ginn
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder4.53.62Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Oakland AthleticsOakland Athletics
10008-02
Jt GinnJt Ginn
pitcher_walksUnder1.50.77Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Oakland AthleticsOakland Athletics
10008-02
Kodai SengaKodai Senga
pitcher_earned_runsOver1.51.19Over Hit 2/3Good
New York MetsNew York Mets
-15508-02
Kodai SengaKodai Senga
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder4.55.12Under Hit 2/3Good
New York MetsNew York Mets
26508-02
Kodai SengaKodai Senga
pitcher_walksOver2.52.56Over Hit 2/3Good
New York MetsNew York Mets
12508-02
Kyle HendricksKyle Hendricks
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.52.8Over Hit 2/3Neutral
Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels
10008-02
Kyle HendricksKyle Hendricks
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder3.53.5Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels
-15008-02
Kyle HendricksKyle Hendricks
pitcher_walksUnder1.51.3Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels
-19008-02
Luis CastilloLuis Castillo
pitcher_earned_runsUnder2.52.12Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners
-16508-02
Luis CastilloLuis Castillo
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder4.54.83Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners
16008-02
Max ScherzerMax Scherzer
pitcher_earned_runsOver1.52.71Over Hit 3/3Neutral
Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays
-18008-02
Max ScherzerMax Scherzer
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder4.55.57Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays
18008-02
Max ScherzerMax Scherzer
pitcher_walksUnder1.51.14Under Hit 3/3Neutral
Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays
-16508-02
Michael McGreevyMichael McGreevy
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.53.0Over Hit 2/3Neutral
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals
-13508-02
Michael McGreevyMichael McGreevy
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder2.53.17Under Hit 3/3Neutral
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals
12408-02
Michael McGreevyMichael McGreevy
pitcher_walksUnder1.50.83Under Hit 2/3Neutral
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals
-14008-02
Noah CameronNoah Cameron
pitcher_earned_runsUnder2.51.57Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals
-16008-02
Noah CameronNoah Cameron
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder2.55.07Under Hit 0/3Neutral
Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals
29008-02
Noah CameronNoah Cameron
pitcher_walksUnder1.51.64Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals
-13008-02
Paul SkenesPaul Skenes
pitcher_earned_runsUnder1.51.23Under Hit 2/3Good
Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates
12508-02
Paul SkenesPaul Skenes
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder5.56.64Under Hit 0/3Good
Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates
17008-02
Paul SkenesPaul Skenes
pitcher_walksUnder0.51.45Under Hit 1/3Good
Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates
16508-02
Randy VasquezRandy Vasquez
pitcher_earned_runsUnder2.52.0Under Hit 3/3Neutral
San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
-14008-02
Randy VasquezRandy Vasquez
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder2.52.48Under Hit 3/3Neutral
San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
12208-02
Randy VasquezRandy Vasquez
pitcher_walksOver1.52.29Over Hit 1/3Neutral
San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
10008-02
Spencer StriderSpencer Strider
pitcher_earned_runsOver1.52.29Over Hit 2/3Neutral
Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves
-17008-02
Spencer StriderSpencer Strider
pitcher_strikeoutsOver6.56.57Over Hit 2/3Neutral
Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves
-18008-02
Spencer StriderSpencer Strider
pitcher_walksOver1.52.29Over Hit 3/3Neutral
Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves
-15508-02
Tanner BibeeTanner Bibee
pitcher_earned_runsOver1.52.81Over Hit 3/3Good
Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians
-16008-02
Tanner BibeeTanner Bibee
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder5.55.1Under Hit 2/3Good
Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians
-11008-02
Tanner BibeeTanner Bibee
pitcher_walksUnder1.51.57Under Hit 2/3Good
Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians
10008-02
Tarik SkubalTarik Skubal
pitcher_earned_runsUnder1.51.48Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers
10008-02
Tarik SkubalTarik Skubal
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder6.58.14Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers
20508-02
Tarik SkubalTarik Skubal
pitcher_walksUnder0.50.9Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers
17508-02
Tomoyuki SuganoTomoyuki Sugano
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.52.65Over Hit 2/3Good
Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles
-14508-02
Tomoyuki SuganoTomoyuki Sugano
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder2.53.55Under Hit 1/3Good
Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles
23008-02
Tomoyuki SuganoTomoyuki Sugano
pitcher_walksOver1.51.4Over Hit 3/3Good
Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles
-15008-02
Walker BuehlerWalker Buehler
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.53.17Over Hit 2/3Bad
Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox
-13008-02
Walker BuehlerWalker Buehler
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder2.53.94Under Hit 1/3Bad
Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox
23008-02
Walker BuehlerWalker Buehler
pitcher_walksOver2.52.28Over Hit 2/3Bad
Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox
15008-02
Zac GallenZac Gallen
pitcher_earned_runsOver2.53.59Over Hit 3/3Neutral
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks
-15508-02
Zac GallenZac Gallen
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder5.55.5Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks
-11508-02
Zac GallenZac Gallen
pitcher_walksOver1.52.14Over Hit 1/3Neutral
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks
-15508-02
Zack WheelerZack Wheeler
pitcher_earned_runsOver1.51.81Over Hit 3/3Neutral
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies
-13508-02
Zack WheelerZack Wheeler
pitcher_strikeoutsUnder6.58.19Under Hit 1/3Neutral
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies
23008-02
Zack WheelerZack Wheeler
pitcher_walksUnder1.51.33Under Hit 2/3Neutral
Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies
-17008-02

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