Best MLB Picks For Today

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New MLB AI generated Player prop picks will show here by 06:00 AM EDT (10:00 AM UTC) on the match day.
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MLB Player prop picks need to be generated freshly for each game day for the AI model to use all available sportsbook lines and find the edge.
545 edges · page 2 of 55
18 Jul · 20:09 ET
Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees New York Yankees
Emmet Sheehan
Emmet Sheehan
Earned Runs
Prediction
Under 2.5
0–2 Earned Runs
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
-140
Last 3
3/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 2.5Under hit 10/15 of last 15 starts
2.5
2.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Emmet Sheehan's season average pitcher earned runs is 2.59.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Emmet Sheehan's games, Under hit 3/5 times at line 2.5.
18 Jul · 14:21 ET
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
Batter Total Bases
Prediction
Over 1.5
2+ Batter Total Bases
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
+120
Last 3
3/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 1.5Over hit 9/15 of last 15 starts
1.5
1.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Ryan Jeffers's season average batter total bases is 1.85.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Ryan Jeffers's games, Over hit 5/5 times at line 1.5.
18 Jul · 16:11 ET
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
Batter Hits
Prediction
Under 0.5
0 Batter Hits
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
+175
Last 3
3/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Under hit 8/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Gavin Sheets's season average batter hits is 0.68.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Gavin Sheets's games, Under hit 5/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 16:11 ET
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Josh Rojas
Josh Rojas
Batter Hits
Prediction
Over 0.5
1+ Batter Hits
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
-168
Last 3
2/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Over hit 5/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Josh Rojas's season average batter hits is 0.44.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Josh Rojas's games, Over hit 2/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 14:21 ET
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Alan Roden
Alan Roden
Batter Hits
Prediction
Under 0.5
0 Batter Hits
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
-101
Last 3
2/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Under hit 4/6 of last 6 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Alan Roden's season average batter hits is 0.5.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Alan Roden's games, Under hit 4/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 16:06 ET
Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets New York Mets
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
Batter Hits
Prediction
Under 0.5
0 Batter Hits
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
+180
Last 3
3/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Under hit 6/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Bo Bichette's season average batter hits is 1.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Bo Bichette's games, Under hit 4/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 14:21 ET
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
Batter Total Bases
Prediction
Under 0.5
0 Batter Total Bases
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
+110
Last 3
2/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Under hit 6/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Dansby Swanson's season average batter total bases is 1.39.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Dansby Swanson's games, Under hit 2/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 16:11 ET
Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres San Diego Padres
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
Batter Hits
Prediction
Over 0.5
1+ Batter Hits
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
-225
Last 3
1/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Over hit 6/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Freddy Fermin's season average batter hits is 0.36.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Freddy Fermin's games, Over hit 3/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 16:11 ET
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
Batter Total Bases
Prediction
Over 0.5
1+ Batter Total Bases
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
-160
Last 3
2/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Over hit 5/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Jarren Duran's season average batter total bases is 1.35.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Jarren Duran's games, Over hit 2/5 times at line 0.5.
18 Jul · 20:09 ET
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners Seattle Mariners
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
Batter Hits
Prediction
Over 0.5
1+ Batter Hits
AI Trust
MembersOnly
Odds
-167
Last 3
3/3
hit rate
Opp OPS
MembersOnly
Performance vs line 0.5Over hit 9/15 of last 15 starts
0.5
0.5
Why this edge
⚾
Season average
Casey Schmitt's season average batter hits is 1.12.
📊
Recent form (last 5)
In last 5 Casey Schmitt's games, Over hit 5/5 times at line 0.5.
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Daily MLB Picks & Bets — AI-Powered Pitcher & Hitter Edges

Looking for the best MLB picks today? Our AI tool runs the entire daily MLB slate through specialized pitcher and hitter prop models, surfacing the MLB bets with the strongest mathematical edge. Every pick on this page comes with a Trust score, K-grade, BB-grade, OPS-grade and recent form so you can verify the AI's reasoning before placing the bet.

MLB Pitcher Prop Picks Done Right

Strikeouts, earned runs allowed, walks, outs recorded — these are the MLB pitcher prop picks where AI analysis really shines. Our model tracks pitcher matchup quality (K-grade vs opponent OPS), park factors, weather conditions, and last 3 starts to find spots where the line is mispriced.

How Our MLB Bets Are Generated

Every game day we run the full MLB slate through pitcher and hitter prop models. Inputs: pitcher last 3 starts, opposing lineup OPS by handedness, park run-environment factor, wind direction, and lineup confirmations. Only MLB picks today with 65%+ Trust make this page.

Free vs Premium MLB Picks

Three free MLB picks per day. Premium unlocks the full slate, our MLB Cheat Sheets tool with sortable pitcher/hitter tables, and the subscription with CSV download of all historical MLB picks for your own track-record verification.

Coverage & Update Schedule

MLB betting requires constant data freshness — lineups change at 4 PM ET. We post the morning slate by 9:00 AM ET, then push updates as starting lineups confirm. Push notifications via the Xaslar App alert you when your watched MLB picks get late-breaking news.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Are MLB pitcher props profitable?
Pitcher props are where MLB betting volume is fastest growing — and where most public bettors lose because they lack the data. Our MLB pitcher prop picks show K-grade vs opponent OPS, recent strikeout trend, park run-environment factor, and weather direction so you can verify each call.
How do you handle weather changes?
Wind direction is a top-3 input for MLB hitter props and is monitored continuously. Late changes (storms, scratches, postponements) trigger fresh recalculation of every MLB bet on the slate. Picks that lose their edge get removed before first pitch.
When are MLB picks updated?
The morning MLB picks slate publishes by 9:00 AM ET. Lineup confirmations at ~4 PM ET trigger another update — when a left-handed-friendly bat is pinch-hitting or sitting, every related prop gets re-graded automatically.
What about doubleheaders?
Both games of a doubleheader appear on the slate as separate entries. The model treats Game 1 and Game 2 independently because lineup composition, pitcher fatigue and weather often differ — so each MLB pick is independently graded.
Do you cover the MLB playoffs?
Yes — MLB picks run through the Wild Card round, Division Series, LCS and the World Series. Playoff baseball has shorter bullpens and tighter strike zones, so the model uses playoff-specific calibration to avoid stale-season inputs.
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