Brad Lord props and projections

PWashington Nationals

Last gameMLB

Nationals

DET

WED · SEP 23

Brad Lord props and projections, Washington Nationals: no line is priced today, but 5 markets carry the full game log, game by game, with a line you can move yourself.

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Prop analysis

The Over hit 4/15 in the last 15 games at a line of 1.5

Consensus line

1.5

Alt. line

1.5

Over hit rate

4/15 (27%)

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Model prediction

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Brad Lord pitcher earned runs prop, last 15 games

Last 5 avg

Last 15 avg

2026 avg

0.9 40 games

vs MIA avg

0.3 6 games

Games logged

88 (2025-26)

Brad Lord props we published

Date	Market	Line	Odds	Trust	Actual	Result
2026-08-21	Pitcher Earned Runs	U 1.5	-167 (1.60)	76%	0	WIN
2026-08-21	Pitcher Hits Allowed	U 2.5	-108 (1.93)	90%	0	WIN
2026-08-21	Pitcher Outs	U 9.5	-124 (1.81)	99%	8	WIN
2026-08-21	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 2.5	-104 (1.96)	76%	1	WIN
2026-08-21	Pitcher Walks	U 1.5	-244 (1.41)	77%	1	WIN
2026-08-15	Pitcher Earned Runs	U 1.5	-121 (1.83)	77%	2	LOSS
2026-08-15	Pitcher Hits Allowed	U 3.5	-102 (1.98)	93%	1	WIN
2026-08-15	Pitcher Outs	U 11.5	-116 (1.86)	99%	2	WIN
2026-08-15	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 3.5	-151 (1.66)	79%	1	WIN
2026-08-15	Pitcher Walks	U 0.5	+171 (2.71)	54%	4	LOSS

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