Aaron Holiday points prop

GHouston RocketsFree agent

Last gameNBA

Rockets

Lakers

FRI · MAY 1

3.5 PointsO -170 | U +130 7.5 Pts+Reb+AstO -115 | U -115 Reboundshistory Pts+Rebhistory Threeshistory Pts+Asthistory Reb+Asthistory Assistshistory Stealshistory Blockshistory

Aaron Holiday props, Houston Rockets: no line is priced today, but 10 markets carry the full game log, game by game, with a line you can move yourself.

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Prop analysis

The Over hit 8/15 in the last 15 games at a line of 3.5

Consensus line

3.5

Alt. line

3.5

Over hit rate

8/15 (53%)

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Model prediction

Prediction, Trust, Edge, O.Def and expected minutes

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Aaron Holiday points prop, last 15 games

Last 5 avg

3.2

Last 15 avg

4.4

2025-26 avg

5.2 63 games

vs LAL avg

2.3 7 games

Games logged

63 (2025-26)

Aaron Holiday props we published

Date	Market	Lines, first to last	Actual
2026-05-0105-01	Points05-01Actual 2	L	2
2026-05-0105-01	Pts+Reb+Ast05-01Actual 5	L	5
2026-04-0904-09	Points04-09Actual 7	W	7
2026-04-0904-09	Pts+Reb+Ast04-09Actual 11	W	11
2026-04-0904-09	Threes04-09Actual 1	L	1
2026-03-2703-27	Points03-27Actual 6	L	6
2026-03-2703-27	Pts+Reb+Ast03-27Actual 7	W	7
2026-03-2503-25	Pts+Reb+Ast03-25Actual 6	W	6

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