Matt Waldron props and projections

PWashington Nationals

Last gameMLB

Nationals

ATL

WED · SEP 2

2.5 Pitcher Earned RunsO -104 | U -127 3.5 Pitcher StrikeoutsO -158 | U +118 Pitcher Walkshistory Pitcher Outshistory Pitcher Hits Allowedhistory

Matt Waldron props and projections, Washington Nationals: no line is priced today, but 5 markets carry the full game log, game by game, with a line you can move yourself.

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Prop analysis

The Over hit 3/15 in the last 15 games at a line of 2.5

Consensus line

2.5

Alt. line

2.5

Over hit rate

3/15 (20%)

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Matt Waldron pitcher earned runs prop, last 15 games

Last 5 avg

Last 15 avg

1.3

2026 avg

1.8 17 games

vs MIL avg

3 2 games

Games logged

18 (2025-26)

Matt Waldron props we published

Date	Market	Line	Odds	Trust	Actual	Result
2026-05-12	Pitcher Earned Runs	O 2.5	-104 (1.96)	77%	6	WIN
2026-05-12	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 3.5	+118 (2.18)	66%	3	WIN
2026-05-06	Pitcher Strikeouts	O 2.5	-215 (1.47)	74%	7	WIN
2026-04-29	Pitcher Earned Runs	O 2.5	-155 (1.65)	66%	3	WIN
2026-04-29	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 2.5	+210 (3.10)	40%	1	WIN
2026-04-23	Pitcher Earned Runs	O 2.5	-155 (1.65)	66%	6	WIN
2026-04-23	Pitcher Strikeouts	U 2.5	+320 (4.20)	32%	3	LOSS

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