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NFL cheat sheet for today

NFL cheat sheet for 2026-11-08, every player prop in one table: the line, the price, the last 15 games and how often it has cleared. Trust and edge are what the model thinks of it.

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796 picks24 teams2026-11-08 slate
796 rows · showing 150
Columns explained
Player
The player and the opponent they line up against today. Click any row to open the full breakdown.
Pos
The position the player is listed at today.
Market
The market the model has an opinion on, exactly as the book prices it.
Line
The number the book is offering on this market right now.
L15 avg
The player's own average in this market across their last 15 games, for comparison against the line.
Odds
American price on the side the model leans.
Prediction
Which side of the line the model leans. This is the product, so it is members only.
Trust
The model's trust that this side lands, calibrated against real results. Members only.
Edge
Expected return per unit staked, at this price: trust x decimal odds - 1. Positive edge means the price is better than the model's trust. Members only.
Matchup
How much the opposing defense gives up in this exact market, graded A to F against the league average. A gives up the least (the toughest matchup), C is league average, F gives up the most (the softest). A tough defense helps an Under and works against an Over; a soft one does the opposite. Green means the matchup helps the pick, red means it works against it. Members only.
Last 15 games
One bar per game, oldest on the left. Green finished above the line, red did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count below says how many of the 15 landed above it.
Team
The club the player suits up for.
Jayden Danielsvs Los Angeles RamsQBPass Attempts31.5→29.8—Under the line 10/15
Dylan Sampsonvs New Orleans SaintsRBReceiving Yards20.5↓19.2—Under the line 10/15
Jack Bechvs San Francisco 49ersWRReceptions1.5→1.3—Under the line 8/15
Bryce Youngvs Denver BroncosQBPassing TDs1.5→1.7—Over the line 8/15
Geno Smithvs Kansas City ChiefsQBPass Attempts32.5→29.7—Under the line 11/15
Isaac TeSlaavs Miami DolphinsWRReceptions1.5→1.5—Under the line 8/15
Jayden Danielsvs Los Angeles RamsQBCompletions19.5→18.7—Under the line 10/15
Matthew Staffordvs Washington CommandersQBPass Attempts32.5→39.1—Over the line 11/15
Jared Goffvs Miami DolphinsQBPassing Yards260.5↓286.2—Over the line 10/15
Luther Burden IIIvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersWRReceiving Yards65.5↓64.7—Under the line 10/15
Jordan Lovevs New England PatriotsQBPass Attempts37.5↓34.1—Under the line 8/15
Drew Lockvs Arizona CardinalsQBInterceptions0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Tez Johnsonvs Chicago BearsWRReceiving Yards15.5↓15.9—Under the line 8/15
Joe Milton IIIvs New York GiantsQBCompletions17.5→7.4—Under the line 4/5
Omarion Hamptonvs Houston TexansRBReceiving Yards6.5→16.1—Over the line 10/15
Dallas Goedertvs New York GiantsTEReceiving Yards37.5→39.5—Under the line 8/15
Kirk Cousinsvs San Francisco 49ersQBPassing TDs1.5→1.9—Over the line 10/15
Geno Smithvs Kansas City ChiefsQBPassing Yards216.5↑215.8—Under the line 8/15
Cooper Kuppvs Arizona CardinalsWRReceiving Yards24.5↓32.2—Over the line 9/15
Kenneth Gainwellvs Chicago BearsRBReceiving Yards9.5↓22.6—Over the line 10/15
Kyren Williamsvs Washington CommandersRBReceiving Yards20.5↑26.4—Over the line 9/15
Tyler Shoughvs Cleveland BrownsQBPassing TDs1.5→1.5—Under the line 9/15
DeMario Douglasvs Green Bay PackersWRReceiving Yards39.5↓30.7—Under the line 11/15
Geno Smithvs Kansas City ChiefsQBCompletions20.5→20.3—Under the line 10/15
Drake Mayevs Green Bay PackersQBCompletions20.5↑19.4—Under the line 9/15
Alvin Kamaravs Cleveland BrownsRBReceiving Yards19.5↑19.1—Under the line 8/15
Xavier Worthyvs New York JetsWRReceiving Yards29.5↓35.3—Under the line 8/15
Bryce Youngvs Denver BroncosQBPassing Yards226.5↓245.5—Over the line 8/15
Eli Stowersvs New York GiantsTEReceptions0.5→1.5—Over the line 1/2
Isaiah Likelyvs Philadelphia EaglesTEReceiving Yards42.5↓39.9—Under the line 10/15
Dak Prescottvs Indianapolis ColtsQBCompletions22.5→23.2—Over the line 9/15
Matthew Staffordvs Washington CommandersQBPassing Yards247.5↓295.7—Over the line 11/15
C.J. Stroudvs Los Angeles ChargersQBPassing Yards250.5↑244.5—Under the line 8/15
Trey McBridevs Seattle SeahawksTEReceiving Yards61.5↑71—Over the line 10/15
Dallas Goedertvs New York GiantsTEReceptions3.5→4—Over the line 9/15
Joe Milton IIIvs New York GiantsQBPass Attempts31.5→10.6—Under the line 5/5
Drake Mayevs Green Bay PackersQBPassing TDs1.5→1.9—Over the line 9/15
Daniel Jonesvs Dallas CowboysQBPass Attempts31.5→31.5—Under the line 9/15
Justin Herbertvs Houston TexansQBPass Attempts31.5↓28.7—Under the line 10/15
Tyler Shoughvs Cleveland BrownsQBPass Attempts34.5→36.3—Over the line 8/15
John Metchie IIIvs Denver BroncosWRReceiving Yards14.5↓24.7—Over the line 11/15
Demarcus Robinsonvs Las Vegas RaidersWRReceptions2.5→1.9—Under the line 11/15
Justin Herbertvs Houston TexansQBPassing Yards211.5↑192.9—Under the line 10/15
Alvin Kamaravs Cleveland BrownsRBReceptions3.5→3.1—Under the line 9/15
Dalton Schultzvs Los Angeles ChargersTEReceiving Yards36.5↑44.1—Under the line 9/15
Darnell Mooneyvs Philadelphia EaglesWRReceiving Yards12.5→24.4—Over the line 11/15
Kyle Williamsvs Green Bay PackersWRReceiving Yards17.5↓18—Under the line 10/15
Rhamondre Stevensonvs Green Bay PackersRBReceiving Yards23.5→29.5—Under the line 8/15
Kirk Cousinsvs San Francisco 49ersQBPassing Yards246.5→239.7—Under the line 8/15
Kyle Juszczykvs Las Vegas RaidersFBReceiving Yards9.5↑14.3—Over the line 9/15
C.J. Stroudvs Los Angeles ChargersQBCompletions21.5↓20.9—Under the line 8/15
Michael Wilsonvs Seattle SeahawksWRReceptions4.5→5.7—Over the line 9/15
Caleb Williamsvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersQBCompletions21.5↑20.7—Under the line 9/15
Chuba Hubbardvs Denver BroncosRBReceptions2.5→2.5—Under the line 9/15
Christian Watsonvs New England PatriotsWRReceiving Yards68.5↓74.7—Under the line 8/15
Drake Mayevs Green Bay PackersQBPass Attempts31.5→29.1—Under the line 9/15
Tre' Harrisvs Houston TexansWRReceiving Yards29.5↓31.9—Under the line 8/15
Brock Purdyvs Las Vegas RaidersQBPassing Yards242.5↓235.4—Over the line 8/15
Jared Goffvs Miami DolphinsQBPass Attempts31.5↑36.9—Over the line 11/15
Elijah Higginsvs Seattle SeahawksTEReceiving Yards13.5→19.3—Over the line 8/15
Matthew Staffordvs Washington CommandersQBCompletions22.5→24.7—Over the line 9/15
Stefon Diggsvs Los Angeles RamsWRReceptions4.5→4.3—Under the line 9/15
C.J. Stroudvs Los Angeles ChargersQBPassing TDs1.5→1.4—Under the line 9/15
Jonathan Taylorvs Dallas CowboysRBReceiving Yards19.5↑21.3—Under the line 8/15
Devaughn Velevs Cleveland BrownsWRReceiving Yards37.5↑40.8—Over the line 9/15
Patrick Mahomesvs New York JetsQBCompletions21.5→22.1—Over the line 8/15
Omarion Hamptonvs Houston TexansRBReceptions1.5→2.7—Over the line 9/15
Tommy Tremblevs Denver BroncosTEReceiving Yards15.5↓19.7—Under the line 8/15
Patrick Mahomesvs New York JetsQBPassing Yards242.5↑257.9—Over the line 10/15
Dak Prescottvs Indianapolis ColtsQBPass Attempts33.5→36—Over the line 10/15
Bryce Youngvs Denver BroncosQBPass Attempts34.5↓34.5—Over the line 9/15
Laquon Treadwellvs Dallas CowboysWRReceptions1.5→1.1—Under the line 10/15
Troy Franklinvs Carolina PanthersWRReceiving Yards7.5↑17.9—Over the line 8/15
Tucker Kraftvs New England PatriotsTEReceptions4.5→4.3—Over the line 8/15
Jaxon Smith-Njigbavs Arizona CardinalsWRReceptions7.5→7.4—Over the line 8/15
Eli Stowersvs New York GiantsTEReceiving Yards5.5↓26.5—Over the line 1/2
Kimani Vidalvs Houston TexansRBRush Attempts5.5→8.6—Over the line 8/15
Bryce Youngvs Denver BroncosQBInterceptions0.5→0.7—Over the line 8/15
Kimani Vidalvs Houston TexansRBReceptions1.5→1.2—Under the line 10/15
Joe Milton IIIvs New York GiantsQBPassing Yards183.5↓84.8—Under the line 4/5
Ashton Jeantyvs San Francisco 49ersRBReceiving Yards35.5↓37.3—Over the line 9/15
Kyren Williamsvs Washington CommandersRBRush Attempts13.5→14.6—Over the line 8/15
Drake Mayevs Green Bay PackersQBInterceptions0.5→0.9—Over the line 9/15
Laquon Treadwellvs Dallas CowboysWRReceiving Yards14.5→14.3—Under the line 8/15
Javonte Williamsvs Indianapolis ColtsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.9—Over the line 10/15
Blake Corumvs Washington CommandersRBReceiving Yards6.5→10.6—Over the line 9/15
Patrick Mahomesvs New York JetsQBPass Attempts31.5→34.7—Over the line 10/15
Kenneth Walker IIIvs New York JetsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.9—Under the line 8/15
Malik Nabersvs Philadelphia EaglesWRReceptions5.5→6.3—Over the line 9/15
Harold Fannin Jr.vs New Orleans SaintsTEReceptions4.5→4.3—Under the line 9/15
Justin Herbertvs Houston TexansQBRush Attempts4.5→5.3—Over the line 9/15
Brock Purdyvs Las Vegas RaidersQBInterceptions0.5→0.9—Over the line 9/15
Chris Olavevs Cleveland BrownsWRReceiving Yards73.5↑86.4—Over the line 8/15
Keenan Allenvs Dallas CowboysWRReceiving Yards41.5↑39.2—Under the line 9/15
Travis Kelcevs New York JetsTEReceiving Yards45.5↑48.1—Under the line 8/15
Isaiah Likelyvs Philadelphia EaglesTEReceptions4.5→3.9—Under the line 9/15
Rachaad Whitevs Los Angeles RamsRBReceptions2.5→2.3—Under the line 11/15
Jared Goffvs Miami DolphinsQBCompletions22.5↑23.9—Over the line 9/15
Saquon Barkleyvs New York GiantsRBReceptions1.5→1.5—Under the line 10/15
Baker Mayfieldvs Chicago BearsQBInterceptions0.5→0.7—Over the line 9/15
Puka Nacuavs Washington CommandersWRReceiving Yards93.5↓111—Under the line 8/15
Jordan Lovevs New England PatriotsQBPassing TDs1.5→2—Over the line 11/15
Jahmyr Gibbsvs Miami DolphinsRBReceptions4.5→5.3—Over the line 9/15
Brock Purdyvs Las Vegas RaidersQBPass Attempts30.5→30.3—Under the line 9/15
Tyler Shoughvs Cleveland BrownsQBInterceptions0.5→0.7—Over the line 8/15
Kirk Cousinsvs San Francisco 49ersQBInterceptions0.5→0.7—Over the line 8/15
Chig Okonkwovs Los Angeles RamsTEReceptions3.5→3.3—Under the line 9/15
Quentin Johnstonvs Houston TexansWRReceptions2.5→2.5—Over the line 8/15
Javonte Williamsvs Indianapolis ColtsRBReceptions1.5→2—Over the line 10/15
Geno Smithvs Kansas City ChiefsQBInterceptions0.5→0.6—Over the line 8/15
Justin Herbertvs Houston TexansQBCompletions18.5→18—Over the line 9/15
Malik Willisvs Detroit LionsQBInterceptions0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Jameson Williamsvs Miami DolphinsWRReceptions3.5→4.3—Over the line 11/15
Matthew Staffordvs Washington CommandersQBInterceptions0.5→0.9—Over the line 9/15
D'Andre Swiftvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersRBAnytime TD0.5→1—Over the line 8/15
C.J. Stroudvs Los Angeles ChargersQBPass Attempts32.5↓33.8—Under the line 8/15
Jonathan Taylorvs Dallas CowboysRBReceptions2.5→2.5—Over the line 8/15
J.J. McCarthyvs Philadelphia EaglesQBInterceptions0.5→1—Over the line 9/13
Michael Mayervs San Francisco 49ersTEReceptions3.5→3.7—Under the line 10/15
Chris Olavevs Cleveland BrownsWRReceptions5.5→6.5—Over the line 9/15
Noah Grayvs New York JetsTEReceptions1.5→1.6—Over the line 8/15
CeeDee Lambvs Indianapolis ColtsWRReceptions6.5→6.3—Under the line 9/15
Daniel Jonesvs Dallas CowboysQBInterceptions0.5→0.9—Over the line 10/15
Tre' Harrisvs Houston TexansWRReceptions2.5→2.5—Under the line 8/15
Christian Watsonvs New England PatriotsWRReceptions4.5→4.5—Under the line 8/15
Kyren Williamsvs Washington CommandersRBAnytime TD0.5→0.9—Over the line 10/15
Cooper Kuppvs Arizona CardinalsWRReceptions2.5→3—Under the line 8/15
Jordan Lovevs New England PatriotsQBInterceptions0.5→0.6—Over the line 8/15
Keaton Mitchellvs Houston TexansRBReceptions1.5→1.5—Under the line 8/15
Jadarian Pricevs Arizona CardinalsRBReceptions1.5→1.5—Over the line 2/4
Puka Nacuavs Washington CommandersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.9—Over the line 10/15
C.J. Stroudvs Los Angeles ChargersQBInterceptions0.5→0.6—Under the line 10/15
Gardner Minshew IIvs Seattle SeahawksQBInterceptions0.5→0.7—Under the line 8/15
Devaughn Velevs Cleveland BrownsWRReceptions3.5→3.6—Under the line 8/15
Chuba Hubbardvs Denver BroncosRBAnytime TD0.5→0.7—Under the line 8/15
Jonathan Taylorvs Dallas CowboysRBAnytime TD0.5→0.7—Over the line 8/15
Caleb Williamsvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersQBPassing TDs1.5→1.6—Over the line 10/15
Caleb Williamsvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersQBInterceptions0.5→0.6—Under the line 9/15
Jaxon Smith-Njigbavs Arizona CardinalsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.8—Over the line 9/15
AJ Barnervs Arizona CardinalsTEReceptions2.5→2.6—Over the line 8/15
George Kittlevs Las Vegas RaidersTEAnytime TD0.5→0.7—Over the line 8/15
Keenan Allenvs Dallas CowboysWRReceptions4.5→4.5—Over the line 8/15
Josh Jacobsvs New England PatriotsRBAnytime TD0.5→1—Over the line 10/15
Shedeur Sandersvs New Orleans SaintsQBInterceptions0.5→0.9—Over the line 6/11
Patrick Mahomesvs New York JetsQBInterceptions0.5→0.9—Over the line 10/15
Zach Charbonnetvs Arizona CardinalsRBReceptions1.5→1.4—Under the line 8/15
D'Andre Swiftvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersRBReceptions2.5→2.3—Under the line 10/15
Brock Bowersvs San Francisco 49ersTEAnytime TD0.5→0.8—Over the line 8/15
Bucky Irvingvs Chicago BearsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.6—Under the line 8/15
CeeDee Lambvs Indianapolis ColtsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 10/15
Unlock Trust and Edge on every row

One free pick per league stays open. The rest of the model's judgement is for members.

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How to read the NFL cheat sheet

What the NFL player prop cheat sheet columns mean

One row of the NFLplayer prop cheat sheet is one prop. It carries the market, the line, the price, the player's own average over the same window and a chart of their last 15 games against that exact line. Green bars finished above the line, red bars did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count under the chart says how many of the 15 landed above it.

What Trust and Edge mean

Trust is how strongly the model backs this side, on our own scale: higher means more confidence, and the top of the board is where it is highest. Edge is what the price is worth against the model's own read of it. A pick can be very likely and still lose money, which is why a high trust row is one where nothing in the inputs argues with anything else. How AI sports predictions work.

The matchup grade

The opponent column grades how the other side handles this exact market. A is the strongest defense and F the weakest; the model's own words for the scale are A Strong, B Good, C Neutral, E Weak. It is coloured against the pick, not on its own: a weak defense is green on an Over and red on an Under, a strong one the other way round.

Sorting, filtering and search

Members get the sheet in trust order, best call first. Without a membership the board is shuffled, so the order gives nothing away, and the free pick sits on top either way, since it is the highest trust on the board anyway. From there, sort by line to read it the way a board reads, by odds when you are shopping price, by games over the line when you want the form to do the talking, or by name when you already know who you are looking for. The market and team pickers narrow the table, and the search box matches player, team or market at once.

What is free and what is not

The board itself is free: every prop, every line, every price, every chart. What a membership unlocks is the model's judgement: which side it takes, its calibrated trust, the edge at that price, and how much it trusts the call, how the matchup grades and what it expects from the minutes. One pick per league stays fully open so you can see the whole thing before paying for it.

When it updates

The sheet is rebuilt from the morning slate and refreshed through the day as lines move. If a sport is out of season the page stays up and fills back in with the schedule.