Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction in the Eredivisie: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax to win | -119 (1.84) | market average | ||
| Draw | +300 (4.00) | market average | ||
| AZ Alkmaar to win | +240 (3.40) | market average |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -250 (1.40) | market average | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | +180 (2.80) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Ajax and AZ Alkmaar form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | WDDWW→ | 10 | 2 | 21 | 2.1 |
| AZ Alkmaar | WDWLD→ | 9 | 4 | 20 | 2.22 |
The full table is on the Eredivisie page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Ajax last 5
3W 2D 0L
AZ Alkmaar last 5
2W 2D 1L
Ajax points per game
2.1
AZ Alkmaar points per game
2.2
Ajax scored
2.9
AZ Alkmaar scored
2.3
Ajax conceded
1.3
AZ Alkmaar conceded
1.3
Ajax goals in game
4.2
AZ Alkmaar goals in game
3.6
Ajax opponents per game
1.0
AZ Alkmaar opponents per game
1.2
Ajax over 2.5
70%
AZ Alkmaar over 2.5
55%
Ajax both scored
65%
AZ Alkmaar both scored
50%
Ajax first half goals
1.8
AZ Alkmaar first half goals
1.5
Ajax second half goals
2.6
AZ Alkmaar second half goals
2.1
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.4
Over 2.5
4 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | AZ Alkmaar v Ajax | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Ajax v AZ Alkmaar | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Ajax v AZ Alkmaar | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-12-08 | AZ Alkmaar v Ajax | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-02-25 | AZ Alkmaar v Ajax | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Ajax v AZ Alkmaar | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2023-05-06 | Ajax v AZ Alkmaar | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2022-09-18 | AZ Alkmaar v Ajax | 2–1 | 3 |
Ajax picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax | Ajax to win | 1.50 | 1:2 | WIN |
AZ Alkmaar picks we published
No graded pick on a AZ Alkmaar match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Why
01Ajax is in good form: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.4 per game. Unbeaten in 6.
02AZ Alkmaar is inconsistent: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Ajax 0, 3 draws, AZ Alkmaar 5. Ajax have not won any of them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 8.76%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.