Alaves vs Malaga prediction
Alaves vs Malaga prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchOur pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves to win | -119 (1.84) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +257 (3.57) | Pinnacle | ||
| Malaga to win | +336 (4.36) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | +104 (2.04) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | -123 (1.81) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Alaves and Malaga form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | WLLDL→ | 8 | 7 | 11 | 1.38 |
| Malaga | DDLLD→ | 8 | 20 | 4 | 0.5 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Alaves vs Malaga, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Alaves last 5
1W 1D 3L
Malaga last 5
0W 3D 2L
Alaves points per game
1.4
Malaga points per game
0.5
Alaves scored
1.4
Malaga scored
0.7
Alaves conceded
1.0
Malaga conceded
1.4
Alaves goals in game
2.4
Malaga goals in game
2.1
Alaves opponents per game
1.3
Malaga opponents per game
1.3
Alaves over 2.5
60%
Malaga over 2.5
45%
Alaves both scored
70%
Malaga both scored
60%
Alaves first half goals
0.9
Malaga first half goals
1.2
Alaves second half goals
1.5
Malaga second half goals
0.9
Alaves vs Malaga head to head
6 meetingsMeetings
6
Goals per meeting
2.2
Over 2.5
3 of 6
Both scored
3 of 6
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-20 | Alaves v Malaga | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2022-12-18 | Malaga v Alaves | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2018-05-06 | Malaga v Alaves | 0–3 | 3 |
| 2017-12-21 | Alaves v Malaga | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2017-03-11 | Malaga v Alaves | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2016-10-16 | Alaves v Malaga | 1–1 | 2 |
Why
01Alaves is in poor form: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.
02Malaga is in a slump: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2 per game.
03Last 6 meetings: Alaves 4, 1 draw, Malaga 1.
04Alaves generate 2.29 expected goals and concede 0.26 per game. They are scoring 0.89 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.29%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.