Sevilla vs Alaves prediction
Sevilla vs Alaves prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla to win | +106 (2.06) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +231 (3.31) | Pinnacle | ||
| Alaves to win | +279 (3.79) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.25 goals | -105 (1.95) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.25 goals | -114 (1.88) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Sevilla and Alaves form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | WLDLW→ | 10 | 6 | 17 | 1.7 |
| Alaves | DLLDL→ | 11 | 10 | 12 | 1.09 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Sevilla vs Alaves, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Sevilla last 5
2W 1D 2L
Alaves last 5
0W 2D 3L
Sevilla points per game
1.7
Alaves points per game
1.1
Sevilla scored
1.6
Alaves scored
1.2
Sevilla conceded
1.6
Alaves conceded
1.7
Sevilla goals in game
3.2
Alaves goals in game
2.9
Sevilla opponents per game
1.7
Alaves opponents per game
1.6
Sevilla over 2.5
50%
Alaves over 2.5
60%
Sevilla both scored
55%
Alaves both scored
70%
Sevilla first half goals
1.1
Alaves first half goals
0.9
Sevilla second half goals
2.1
Alaves second half goals
1.6
Sevilla vs Alaves head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.3
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
7 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Sevilla v Alaves | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Alaves v Sevilla | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2025-04-20 | Sevilla v Alaves | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-09-20 | Alaves v Sevilla | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-01-12 | Sevilla v Alaves | 2–3 | 5 |
| 2023-08-21 | Alaves v Sevilla | 4–3 | 7 |
| 2022-03-04 | Alaves v Sevilla | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Sevilla v Alaves | 2–2 | 4 |
Sevilla picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | Sevilla vs Osasuna | Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 2:0 | WIN |
Alaves picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct | Alaves vs Malaga | Alaves to win | 1.60 | 1:1 | LOSS |
Expected goals
Sevilla expected goals for
2.02
Sevilla expected goals against
1.91
Alaves expected goals for
2.29
Alaves expected goals against
0.26
Why
01Sevilla is inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 per game.
02Alaves is in a slump: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Sevilla 1, 4 draws, Alaves 3.
04Sevilla generate 2.02 expected goals and concede 1.91 per game. They are scoring 0.42 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
05Alaves generate 2.29 expected goals and concede 0.26 per game. They are scoring 1.09 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.14%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.