Cardiff vs Burnley prediction
Cardiff vs Burnley prediction in the Championship: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff to win | +121 (2.21) | market average | ||
| Draw | +275 (3.75) | market average | ||
| Burnley to win | +178 (2.77) | market average |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -227 (1.44) | market average | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | +150 (2.50) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Cardiff and Burnley form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | LWDWL→ | 13 | 17 | 14 | 1.08 |
| Burnley | WDLLD→ | 13 | 22 | 9 | 0.69 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Cardiff vs Burnley, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Cardiff last 5
2W 1D 2L
Burnley last 5
1W 2D 2L
Cardiff points per game
1.1
Burnley points per game
0.7
Cardiff scored
1.4
Burnley scored
1.3
Cardiff conceded
1.5
Burnley conceded
1.6
Cardiff goals in game
2.9
Burnley goals in game
2.9
Cardiff opponents per game
1.4
Burnley opponents per game
1.3
Cardiff over 2.5
55%
Burnley over 2.5
60%
Cardiff both scored
70%
Burnley both scored
75%
Cardiff first half goals
1.7
Burnley first half goals
1.4
Cardiff second half goals
1.2
Burnley second half goals
1.8
Cardiff vs Burnley head to head
6 meetingsMeetings
6
Goals per meeting
3.0
Over 2.5
4 of 6
Both scored
3 of 6
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 | Cardiff v Burnley | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2024-08-17 | Burnley v Cardiff | 5–0 | 5 |
| 2023-05-08 | Burnley v Cardiff | 3–0 | 3 |
| 2022-10-01 | Cardiff v Burnley | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2019-04-13 | Burnley v Cardiff | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2018-09-30 | Cardiff v Burnley | 1–2 | 3 |
Cardiff picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Wolves vs Cardiff | Over 2.5 | 1.50 | 3:0 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Cardiff vs Birmingham | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 1:0 | LOSS |
Burnley picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Burnley vs Portsmouth | Over 2.5 | 1.93 | 0:0 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Lincoln vs Burnley | Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 4:1 | WIN |
Why
01Cardiff is inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.
02Burnley is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.
03Last 6 meetings: Cardiff 0, 1 draw, Burnley 5. Cardiff have not won any of them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 8.05%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.