Chelsea vs Man United prediction
Chelsea vs Man United prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea to win | -122 (1.82) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +301 (4.01) | Pinnacle | ||
| Man United to win | +294 (3.94) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.25 goals | +105 (2.05) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3.25 goals | -125 (1.80) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Chelsea and Man United form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | LDLWW→ | 7 | 4 | 13 | 1.86 |
| Man United | DLDDD→ | 7 | 13 | 7 | 1 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Chelsea vs Man United, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Chelsea last 5
2W 1D 2L
Man United last 5
0W 4D 1L
Chelsea points per game
1.9
Man United points per game
1.0
Chelsea scored
2.1
Man United scored
1.6
Chelsea conceded
1.7
Man United conceded
1.2
Chelsea goals in game
3.8
Man United goals in game
2.8
Chelsea opponents per game
1.5
Man United opponents per game
1.4
Chelsea over 2.5
75%
Man United over 2.5
55%
Chelsea both scored
65%
Man United both scored
70%
Chelsea first half goals
1.8
Man United first half goals
0.8
Chelsea second half goals
2.0
Man United second half goals
2.0
Chelsea vs Man United head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.0
Over 2.5
4 of 8
Both scored
6 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Chelsea v Man United | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Man United v Chelsea | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2025-05-16 | Chelsea v Man United | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2024-11-03 | Man United v Chelsea | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-04-04 | Chelsea v Man United | 4–3 | 7 |
| 2023-12-06 | Man United v Chelsea | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2023-05-25 | Man United v Chelsea | 4–1 | 5 |
| 2022-10-22 | Chelsea v Man United | 1–1 | 2 |
Chelsea picks we published
No graded pick on a Chelsea match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Man United picks we published
No graded pick on a Man United match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Why
01Chelsea is inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.6 per game.
02Man United is in a slump: 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Chelsea 2, 2 draws, Man United 4.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.26%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.