Derby vs Norwich prediction
Derby vs Norwich prediction in the Championship: 3 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the one we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby to win | +221 (3.21) | market average | ||
| Draw | +255 (3.55) | market average | ||
| Norwich to win | +108 (2.08) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Derby and Norwich form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | DDLLD→ | 12 | 23 | 7 | 0.58 |
| Norwich | LLLLW→ | 12 | 20 | 12 | 1 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Derby vs Norwich, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Derby last 5
0W 3D 2L
Norwich last 5
1W 0D 4L
Derby points per game
0.6
Norwich points per game
1.0
Derby scored
0.7
Norwich scored
1.9
Derby conceded
1.7
Norwich conceded
1.7
Derby goals in game
2.4
Norwich goals in game
3.6
Derby opponents per game
1.1
Norwich opponents per game
1.5
Derby over 2.5
55%
Norwich over 2.5
65%
Derby both scored
60%
Norwich both scored
70%
Derby first half goals
1.3
Norwich first half goals
2.1
Derby second half goals
1.1
Norwich second half goals
1.5
Derby vs Norwich head to head
6 meetingsMeetings
6
Goals per meeting
2.2
Over 2.5
2 of 6
Both scored
3 of 6
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Norwich v Derby | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2025-10-21 | Derby v Norwich | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Norwich v Derby | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Derby v Norwich | 2–3 | 5 |
| 2021-04-10 | Derby v Norwich | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2020-10-03 | Norwich v Derby | 0–1 | 1 |
Derby picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Sheffield United vs Derby | Sheffield United to win | 1.76 | 1:1 | LOSS |
Norwich picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Charlton vs Norwich | Over 2.5 | 1.93 | 1:3 | WIN |
Why
01Derby is in a slump: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.
02Norwich is in poor form: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per game.
03Their games average 3.0 goals (Derby 2.4, Norwich 3.6).
04Last 6 meetings: Derby 2, 1 draw, Norwich 3.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 7.40%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.