Derby vs Stoke prediction
Derby vs Stoke prediction in the Championship: 3 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the one we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchOur pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby to win | +140 (2.40) | market average | ||
| Draw | +225 (3.25) | market average | ||
| Stoke to win | +187 (2.87) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Derby and Stoke form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | LLLDD→ | 9 | 23 | 6 | 0.67 |
| Stoke | WDWWW→ | 9 | 4 | 16 | 1.78 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Derby vs Stoke, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Derby last 5
0W 2D 3L
Stoke last 5
4W 1D 0L
Derby points per game
0.7
Stoke points per game
1.8
Derby scored
0.9
Stoke scored
1.5
Derby conceded
1.7
Stoke conceded
1.5
Derby goals in game
2.6
Stoke goals in game
3.0
Derby opponents per game
1.3
Stoke opponents per game
1.1
Derby over 2.5
55%
Stoke over 2.5
60%
Derby both scored
55%
Stoke both scored
65%
Derby first half goals
1.4
Stoke first half goals
1.7
Derby second half goals
1.2
Stoke second half goals
1.3
Derby vs Stoke head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.0
Over 2.5
4 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Derby v Stoke | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Stoke v Derby | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2025-05-03 | Derby v Stoke | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Stoke v Derby | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2021-12-30 | Stoke v Derby | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2021-09-18 | Derby v Stoke | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2021-03-20 | Stoke v Derby | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2020-12-12 | Derby v Stoke | 0–0 | 0 |
Why
01Derby is in a slump: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.
02Stoke is in excellent form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Unbeaten in 6.
03Their games average 2.8 goals (Derby 2.6, Stoke 3.0).
04Last 8 meetings: Derby 3, 2 draws, Stoke 3.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 7.28%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.