Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction in the Bundesliga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg to win | +1343 (14.43) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +960 (10.60) | Pinnacle | ||
| Bayern Munich to win | -833 (1.12) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.25 goals | -110 (1.91) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 4.25 goals | -110 (1.91) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Hamburg and Bayern Munich form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg | WWLLW→ | 9 | 11 | 12 | 1.33 |
| Bayern Munich | DWWDW→ | 9 | 1 | 21 | 2.33 |
The full table is on the Bundesliga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Hamburg last 5
3W 0D 2L
Bayern Munich last 5
3W 2D 0L
Hamburg points per game
1.3
Bayern Munich points per game
2.3
Hamburg scored
1.1
Bayern Munich scored
3.4
Hamburg conceded
2.1
Bayern Munich conceded
1.0
Hamburg goals in game
3.2
Bayern Munich goals in game
4.4
Hamburg opponents per game
1.3
Bayern Munich opponents per game
1.7
Hamburg over 2.5
65%
Bayern Munich over 2.5
85%
Hamburg both scored
65%
Bayern Munich both scored
75%
Hamburg first half goals
1.3
Bayern Munich first half goals
1.7
Hamburg second half goals
1.9
Bayern Munich second half goals
2.7
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich head to head
6 meetingsMeetings
6
Goals per meeting
4.2
Over 2.5
4 of 6
Both scored
1 of 6
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Hamburg v Bayern Munich | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2025-09-13 | Bayern Munich v Hamburg | 5–0 | 5 |
| 2018-03-10 | Bayern Munich v Hamburg | 6–0 | 6 |
| 2017-10-21 | Hamburg v Bayern Munich | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2017-02-25 | Bayern Munich v Hamburg | 8–0 | 8 |
| 2016-09-24 | Hamburg v Bayern Munich | 0–1 | 1 |
Hamburg picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov | Hamburg vs M'gladbach | Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 3:1 | WIN |
| 1 Nov | Ein Frankfurt vs Hamburg | Over 2.5 | 1.44 | 3:1 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Paderborn vs Hamburg | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 1:0 | LOSS |
Bayern Munich picks we published
No graded pick on a Bayern Munich match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Why
01Hamburg is in good form: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game.
02Bayern Munich is in good form: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.4 per game. Unbeaten in 20.
03Last 6 meetings: Hamburg 0, 1 draw, Bayern Munich 5. Hamburg have not won any of them.
04Bayern Munich generate 4.08 expected goals and concede 1.25 per game. They are scoring 0.68 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.65%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.