Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction
Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | +211 (3.11) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +265 (3.65) | Pinnacle | ||
| Arsenal to win | +120 (2.20) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | +100 (2.00) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | -119 (1.84) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Liverpool and Arsenal form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | WDWLW→ | 7 | 5 | 12 | 1.71 |
| Arsenal | WWLWW→ | 7 | 2 | 18 | 2.57 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Liverpool vs Arsenal, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Liverpool last 5
3W 1D 1L
Arsenal last 5
4W 0D 1L
Liverpool points per game
1.7
Arsenal points per game
2.6
Liverpool scored
1.3
Arsenal scored
1.5
Liverpool conceded
1.4
Arsenal conceded
0.6
Liverpool goals in game
2.7
Arsenal goals in game
2.1
Liverpool opponents per game
1.6
Arsenal opponents per game
1.3
Liverpool over 2.5
55%
Arsenal over 2.5
55%
Liverpool both scored
65%
Arsenal both scored
45%
Liverpool first half goals
0.8
Arsenal first half goals
0.8
Liverpool second half goals
1.9
Arsenal second half goals
1.3
Liverpool vs Arsenal head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.0
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
6 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Liverpool v Arsenal | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Liverpool v Arsenal | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-10-27 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-02-04 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2023-12-23 | Liverpool v Arsenal | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2023-04-09 | Liverpool v Arsenal | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2022-10-09 | Arsenal v Liverpool | 3–2 | 5 |
Liverpool picks we published
No graded pick on a Liverpool match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Arsenal picks we published
No graded pick on a Arsenal match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Why
01Liverpool is in good form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game.
02Arsenal is in excellent form: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Liverpool 1, 5 draws, Arsenal 2.
04Arsenal generate 1.85 expected goals and concede 0.56 per game. They are scoring 0.35 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.01%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.