M'gladbach vs Dortmund prediction
M'gladbach vs Dortmund prediction in the Bundesliga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M'gladbach to win | +386 (4.86) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +342 (4.42) | Pinnacle | ||
| Dortmund to win | -154 (1.65) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.25 goals | -103 (1.97) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3.25 goals | -112 (1.89) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
M'gladbach and Dortmund form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M'gladbach | LLWDL→ | 9 | 18 | 4 | 0.44 |
| Dortmund | DDWDW→ | 9 | 2 | 21 | 2.33 |
The full table is on the Bundesliga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
M'gladbach vs Dortmund, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20M'gladbach last 5
1W 1D 3L
Dortmund last 5
2W 3D 0L
M'gladbach points per game
0.4
Dortmund points per game
2.3
M'gladbach scored
1.6
Dortmund scored
1.8
M'gladbach conceded
2.5
Dortmund conceded
0.7
M'gladbach goals in game
4.1
Dortmund goals in game
2.5
M'gladbach opponents per game
1.3
Dortmund opponents per game
1.5
M'gladbach over 2.5
65%
Dortmund over 2.5
55%
M'gladbach both scored
55%
Dortmund both scored
45%
M'gladbach first half goals
1.8
Dortmund first half goals
0.5
M'gladbach second half goals
2.3
Dortmund second half goals
2.0
M'gladbach vs Dortmund head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
4.0
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
6 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | M'gladbach v Dortmund | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dortmund v M'gladbach | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2025-04-20 | Dortmund v M'gladbach | 3–2 | 5 |
| 2024-12-07 | M'gladbach v Dortmund | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-04-13 | M'gladbach v Dortmund | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2023-11-25 | Dortmund v M'gladbach | 4–2 | 6 |
| 2023-05-13 | Dortmund v M'gladbach | 5–2 | 7 |
| 2022-11-11 | M'gladbach v Dortmund | 4–2 | 6 |
M'gladbach picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov | Hamburg vs M'gladbach | Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 3:1 | WIN |
| 31 Oct | M'gladbach vs Paderborn | Over 2.5 | 1.50 | 0:0 | LOSS |
Dortmund picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Dortmund vs Ein Frankfurt | Dortmund to win | 1.48 | 1:0 | WIN |
Why
01M'gladbach is in poor form: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game.
02Dortmund is inconsistent: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 per game. Unbeaten in 11.
03Last 8 meetings: M'gladbach 2, 1 draw, Dortmund 5.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 3.81%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.