Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction
Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction in the Bundesliga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz to win | +372 (4.72) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +503 (6.03) | Pinnacle | ||
| Bayern Munich to win | -213 (1.47) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4 goals | -108 (1.93) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 4 goals | -110 (1.91) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Mainz and Bayern Munich form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | WLWLL→ | 8 | 8 | 10 | 1.25 |
| Bayern Munich | WDWWD→ | 8 | 1 | 18 | 2.25 |
The full table is on the Bundesliga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Mainz vs Bayern Munich, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Mainz last 5
2W 0D 3L
Bayern Munich last 5
3W 2D 0L
Mainz points per game
1.3
Bayern Munich points per game
2.3
Mainz scored
2.0
Bayern Munich scored
3.3
Mainz conceded
2.0
Bayern Munich conceded
0.9
Mainz goals in game
4.0
Bayern Munich goals in game
4.2
Mainz opponents per game
1.5
Bayern Munich opponents per game
1.6
Mainz over 2.5
60%
Bayern Munich over 2.5
85%
Mainz both scored
70%
Bayern Munich both scored
75%
Mainz first half goals
2.0
Bayern Munich first half goals
1.7
Mainz second half goals
1.9
Bayern Munich second half goals
2.6
Mainz vs Bayern Munich head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
5.3
Over 2.5
8 of 8
Both scored
7 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Mainz v Bayern Munich | 3–4 | 7 |
| 2025-12-14 | Bayern Munich v Mainz | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2025-04-26 | Bayern Munich v Mainz | 3–0 | 3 |
| 2024-12-14 | Mainz v Bayern Munich | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-03-09 | Bayern Munich v Mainz | 8–1 | 9 |
| 2023-10-21 | Mainz v Bayern Munich | 1–3 | 4 |
| 2023-04-22 | Mainz v Bayern Munich | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2022-10-29 | Bayern Munich v Mainz | 6–2 | 8 |
Mainz picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Elversberg vs Mainz | Over 2.5 | 1.44 | 4:1 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Mainz vs Werder Bremen | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:3 | WIN |
Bayern Munich picks we published
No graded pick on a Bayern Munich match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Why
01Mainz is inconsistent: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.2 and conceding 2.8 per game.
02Bayern Munich is in good form: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 4.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Unbeaten in 20.
03Last 8 meetings: Mainz 2, 1 draw, Bayern Munich 5.
04Bayern Munich generate 4.08 expected goals and concede 1.25 per game. They are scoring 0.78 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.80%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.