Millwall vs Derby prediction
Millwall vs Derby prediction in the Championship: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall to win | -133 (1.75) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +279 (3.79) | Pinnacle | ||
| Derby to win | +356 (4.56) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -115 (1.87) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | -103 (1.97) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Millwall and Derby form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | DWLDL→ | 12 | 13 | 15 | 1.25 |
| Derby | DDLLD→ | 12 | 23 | 7 | 0.58 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Millwall vs Derby, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Millwall last 5
1W 2D 2L
Derby last 5
0W 3D 2L
Millwall points per game
1.3
Derby points per game
0.6
Millwall scored
1.4
Derby scored
0.7
Millwall conceded
2.0
Derby conceded
1.7
Millwall goals in game
3.4
Derby goals in game
2.4
Millwall opponents per game
1.5
Derby opponents per game
1.1
Millwall over 2.5
60%
Derby over 2.5
55%
Millwall both scored
55%
Derby both scored
60%
Millwall first half goals
1.3
Derby first half goals
1.3
Millwall second half goals
2.1
Derby second half goals
1.1
Millwall vs Derby head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
1.6
Over 2.5
1 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Millwall v Derby | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Derby v Millwall | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Derby v Millwall | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2024-10-19 | Millwall v Derby | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2022-02-23 | Derby v Millwall | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2021-11-06 | Millwall v Derby | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2021-03-13 | Derby v Millwall | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2020-12-05 | Millwall v Derby | 0–1 | 1 |
Millwall picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Portsmouth vs Millwall | Under 2.5 | 1.83 | 2:1 | LOSS |
Derby picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Sheffield United vs Derby | Sheffield United to win | 1.76 | 1:1 | LOSS |
Why
01Millwall is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.
02Derby is in a slump: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Millwall 4, 3 draws, Derby 1.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.46%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.