Monza vs Fiorentina prediction
Monza vs Fiorentina prediction in the Serie A: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza to win | +260 (3.60) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +281 (3.81) | Pinnacle | ||
| Fiorentina to win | +101 (2.01) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | -128 (1.78) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | +112 (2.12) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Monza and Fiorentina form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | WLLLL→ | 11 | 18 | 7 | 0.64 |
| Fiorentina | LLDWD→ | 11 | 15 | 9 | 0.82 |
The full table is on the Serie A page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Monza vs Fiorentina, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Monza last 5
1W 0D 4L
Fiorentina last 5
1W 2D 2L
Monza points per game
0.6
Fiorentina points per game
0.8
Monza scored
1.6
Fiorentina scored
1.7
Monza conceded
2.1
Fiorentina conceded
2.1
Monza goals in game
3.7
Fiorentina goals in game
3.8
Monza opponents per game
1.4
Fiorentina opponents per game
1.7
Monza over 2.5
65%
Fiorentina over 2.5
55%
Monza both scored
65%
Fiorentina both scored
60%
Monza first half goals
1.7
Fiorentina first half goals
1.6
Monza second half goals
2.0
Fiorentina second half goals
2.2
Monza vs Fiorentina head to head
6 meetingsMeetings
6
Goals per meeting
3.0
Over 2.5
4 of 6
Both scored
5 of 6
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Monza v Fiorentina | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-09-01 | Fiorentina v Monza | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-05-13 | Fiorentina v Monza | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2023-12-22 | Monza v Fiorentina | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Monza v Fiorentina | 3–2 | 5 |
| 2023-01-04 | Fiorentina v Monza | 1–1 | 2 |
Monza picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Monza vs Atalanta | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 0:1 | LOSS |
| 31 Oct | Bologna vs Monza | Bologna to win | 1.67 | 2:1 | WIN |
| 28 Oct | Monza vs Napoli | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 1:4 | WIN |
| 23 Oct | Torino vs Monza | Over 2.5 | 1.80 | 3:2 | WIN |
Fiorentina picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Fiorentina vs Juventus | Over 2.5 | 1.80 | 2:2 | WIN |
| 2 Nov | Sassuolo vs Fiorentina | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:4 | WIN |
| 29 Oct | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | Over 2.5 | 1.62 | 2:2 | WIN |
| 25 Oct | Inter vs Fiorentina | Over 2.5 | 1.44 | 2:1 | WIN |
Why
01Monza is in poor form: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 per game.
02Fiorentina is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2 per game.
03Last 6 meetings: Monza 2, 2 draws, Fiorentina 2.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 3.78%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.