Southampton vs Derby over/under goals prediction
Southampton vs Derby over/under goals prediction in the Championship: every selection in this market, each with the price and the book it comes from. Below: goals in the last 15 matches for both clubs with the 3 line drawn across them, goals scored and conceded, over and both-teams-to-score rates, halves and shots on target.
over/under goals prediction, the numbers
Total goals over/underSelections
2
Priced
2
Book
Pinnacle
Kick-off
12:30 UTC
Total goals over/under
2 selections · 2 priced| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 goals | -114 (1.88) | Pinnacle | |
| Under 3 goals | -104 (1.96) | Pinnacle |
Goals against the 3 line, last 15 matches
both clubsSouthampton
6 of 15 · oldest → newest · green = over 3
Derby
5 of 15 · oldest → newest · green = over 3
One bar is one match and its height is the total goals in it, oldest on the left. The letter under the bar is that club's result. The dashed line is 3.
What decides over/under goals prediction
averages from the last 10, rates from the last 20Southampton goals in game
2.7
Derby goals in game
2.9
Southampton scored
1.8
Derby scored
0.9
Southampton conceded
0.9
Derby conceded
2.0
Southampton shots on target
5.2
Derby shots on target
4.1
Southampton over 2.5
65%
Derby over 2.5
65%
Southampton both scored
75%
Derby both scored
65%
Southampton first half goals
1.2
Derby first half goals
1.6
Southampton second half goals
1.5
Derby second half goals
1.3
Model prediction
Goals when Southampton and Derby meet
2 meetingsMeetings
2
Goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5
1 of 2
Both scored
2 of 2
| Date | Match | Score | Goals | Over 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Southampton v Derby | 2–1 | 3 | N |
| 2025-10-04 | Derby v Southampton | 1–1 | 2 | N |