Stoke vs Birmingham prediction
Stoke vs Birmingham prediction in the Championship: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke to win | +189 (2.89) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +241 (3.41) | Pinnacle | ||
| Birmingham to win | +145 (2.45) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -111 (1.90) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | -108 (1.93) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Stoke and Birmingham form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke | WDWWW→ | 15 | 3 | 29 | 1.93 |
| Birmingham | WLWWW→ | 15 | 1 | 29 | 1.93 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Stoke vs Birmingham, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Stoke last 5
4W 1D 0L
Birmingham last 5
4W 0D 1L
Stoke points per game
1.9
Birmingham points per game
1.9
Stoke scored
1.6
Birmingham scored
2.1
Stoke conceded
0.9
Birmingham conceded
0.8
Stoke goals in game
2.5
Birmingham goals in game
2.9
Stoke opponents per game
1.1
Birmingham opponents per game
1.5
Stoke over 2.5
60%
Birmingham over 2.5
65%
Stoke both scored
65%
Birmingham both scored
65%
Stoke first half goals
0.6
Birmingham first half goals
1.6
Stoke second half goals
1.9
Birmingham second half goals
1.3
Stoke vs Birmingham head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.1
Over 2.5
4 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Birmingham v Stoke | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Stoke v Birmingham | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2024-01-20 | Stoke v Birmingham | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2023-12-26 | Birmingham v Stoke | 1–3 | 4 |
| 2023-04-10 | Birmingham v Stoke | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Stoke v Birmingham | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2022-02-19 | Stoke v Birmingham | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2021-08-14 | Birmingham v Stoke | 0–0 | 0 |
Stoke picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Portsmouth vs Stoke | Under 2.5 | 1.67 | 1:2 | LOSS |
| 3 Nov | Blackburn vs Stoke | Under 2.5 | 1.80 | 1:2 | LOSS |
| 31 Oct | Stoke vs Preston | Stoke to win | 1.68 | 2:0 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Stoke vs Bristol City | Under 2.5 | 1.80 | 0:0 | WIN |
Birmingham picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Birmingham vs Swansea | Birmingham to win | 1.79 | 2:1 | WIN |
| 3 Nov | Birmingham vs Millwall | Over 2.5 | 1.80 | 3:0 | WIN |
| 31 Oct | Lincoln vs Birmingham | Over 2.5 | 1.91 | 1:3 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Cardiff vs Birmingham | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 1:0 | LOSS |
Why
01Stoke is in excellent form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.4 per game. Unbeaten in 5.
02Birmingham is in excellent form: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Stoke 2, 4 draws, Birmingham 2.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 4.74%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.