Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction
Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction in the Championship: 3 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the one we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchOur pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke to win | +256 (3.56) | market average | ||
| Draw | +260 (3.60) | market average | ||
| Middlesbrough to win | -106 (1.94) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Stoke and Middlesbrough form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke | WWDWW→ | 8 | 8 | 13 | 1.62 |
| Middlesbrough | DWWDD→ | 8 | 3 | 15 | 1.88 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Stoke vs Middlesbrough, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Stoke last 5
4W 1D 0L
Middlesbrough last 5
2W 3D 0L
Stoke points per game
1.6
Middlesbrough points per game
1.9
Stoke scored
1.4
Middlesbrough scored
2.3
Stoke conceded
1.7
Middlesbrough conceded
1.5
Stoke goals in game
3.1
Middlesbrough goals in game
3.8
Stoke opponents per game
1.2
Middlesbrough opponents per game
1.3
Stoke over 2.5
60%
Middlesbrough over 2.5
65%
Stoke both scored
65%
Middlesbrough both scored
70%
Stoke first half goals
1.6
Middlesbrough first half goals
1.7
Stoke second half goals
1.5
Middlesbrough second half goals
2.1
Stoke vs Middlesbrough head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.4
Over 2.5
3 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | Stoke v Middlesbrough | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2025-09-30 | Middlesbrough v Stoke | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2025-02-25 | Stoke v Middlesbrough | 1–3 | 4 |
| 2024-09-28 | Middlesbrough v Stoke | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2024-03-02 | Stoke v Middlesbrough | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2023-10-28 | Middlesbrough v Stoke | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2023-03-14 | Middlesbrough v Stoke | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2022-08-17 | Stoke v Middlesbrough | 2–2 | 4 |
Why
01Stoke is in excellent form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.6 per game. Unbeaten in 5.
02Middlesbrough is inconsistent: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. Unbeaten in 6.
03Their games average 3.45 goals (Stoke 3.1, Middlesbrough 3.8).
04Last 8 meetings: Stoke 2, 3 draws, Middlesbrough 3.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 7.41%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.