Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction
Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction in the Championship: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford to win | +400 (5.00) | market average | ||
| Draw | +337 (4.37) | market average | ||
| Middlesbrough to win | -190 (1.52) | market average |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -250 (1.40) | market average | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | +162 (2.62) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Watford and Middlesbrough form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | LLWLL→ | 13 | 21 | 11 | 0.85 |
| Middlesbrough | WWDWW→ | 13 | 1 | 28 | 2.15 |
The full table is on the Championship page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Watford vs Middlesbrough, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Watford last 5
1W 0D 4L
Middlesbrough last 5
4W 1D 0L
Watford points per game
0.8
Middlesbrough points per game
2.1
Watford scored
0.8
Middlesbrough scored
2.4
Watford conceded
2.0
Middlesbrough conceded
1.3
Watford goals in game
2.8
Middlesbrough goals in game
3.7
Watford opponents per game
1.1
Middlesbrough opponents per game
1.2
Watford over 2.5
50%
Middlesbrough over 2.5
75%
Watford both scored
50%
Middlesbrough both scored
75%
Watford first half goals
1.6
Middlesbrough first half goals
1.7
Watford second half goals
1.0
Middlesbrough second half goals
2.1
Watford vs Middlesbrough head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.4
Over 2.5
6 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 5–1 | 6 |
| 2025-11-01 | Watford v Middlesbrough | 3–0 | 3 |
| 2025-02-15 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Watford v Middlesbrough | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-05-04 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2023-09-30 | Watford v Middlesbrough | 2–3 | 5 |
| 2023-01-28 | Middlesbrough v Watford | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2022-08-30 | Watford v Middlesbrough | 2–1 | 3 |
Watford picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Norwich vs Watford | Norwich to win | 1.49 | 3:2 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Wolves vs Watford | Over 2.5 | 1.62 | 1:0 | LOSS |
Middlesbrough picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Middlesbrough vs Charlton | Over 2.5 | 1.44 | 3:0 | WIN |
| 23 Oct | Bolton vs Middlesbrough | Over 2.5 | 1.50 | 1:5 | WIN |
Why
01Watford is in poor form: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.6 per game.
02Middlesbrough is in excellent form: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Unbeaten in 11.
03Last 8 meetings: Watford 4, 0 draws, Middlesbrough 4.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 8.48%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.