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NFL cheat sheet for today

NFL cheat sheet for 2026-11-08, every player prop in one table: the line, the price, the last 15 games and how often it has cleared. Trust and edge are what the model thinks of it.

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796 picks24 teams2026-11-08 slate
796 rows · showing 150
Columns explained
Player
The player and the opponent they line up against today. Click any row to open the full breakdown.
Pos
The position the player is listed at today.
Market
The market the model has an opinion on, exactly as the book prices it.
Line
The number the book is offering on this market right now.
L15 avg
The player's own average in this market across their last 15 games, for comparison against the line.
Odds
American price on the side the model leans.
Prediction
Which side of the line the model leans. This is the product, so it is members only.
Trust
The model's trust that this side lands, calibrated against real results. Members only.
Edge
Expected return per unit staked, at this price: trust x decimal odds - 1. Positive edge means the price is better than the model's trust. Members only.
Matchup
How much the opposing defense gives up in this exact market, graded A to F against the league average. A gives up the least (the toughest matchup), C is league average, F gives up the most (the softest). A tough defense helps an Under and works against an Over; a soft one does the opposite. Green means the matchup helps the pick, red means it works against it. Members only.
Last 15 games
One bar per game, oldest on the left. Green finished above the line, red did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count below says how many of the 15 landed above it.
Team
The club the player suits up for.
Drew Lockvs Arizona CardinalsQBRushing Yards7.5↑8.5—Under the line 12/15
Kirk Cousinsvs San Francisco 49ersQBRushing Yards1.5→0.7—Under the line 11/15
Caleb Williamsvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersQBRushing Yards19.5↓21.7—Under the line 8/15
Juwan Johnsonvs Cleveland BrownsTEReceiving Yards26.5↓49.7—Over the line 12/15
Baker Mayfieldvs Chicago BearsQBPass Attempts29.5→27.2—Under the line 9/15
Jadarian Pricevs Arizona CardinalsRBReceiving Yards10.5↑7.3—Under the line 4/4
Justin Herbertvs Houston TexansQBRushing Yards22.5→28.9—Over the line 8/15
Jayden Danielsvs Los Angeles RamsQBRushing Yards38.5↓43.3—Over the line 8/15
Kimani Vidalvs Houston TexansRBRushing Yards20.5↑33.1—Over the line 9/15
Mike Washington Jr.vs San Francisco 49ersRBRushing Yards33.5↑34.8—Over the line 4/8
Javonte Williamsvs Indianapolis ColtsRBRush Attempts17.5→16.5—Under the line 9/15
Breece Hallvs Kansas City ChiefsRBRushing Yards37.5↓66—Over the line 12/15
Woody Marksvs Los Angeles ChargersRBRushing Yards64.5↑50.3—Under the line 10/15
Rhamondre Stevensonvs Green Bay PackersRBRushing Yards56.5↑54.2—Under the line 10/15
Jordan Lovevs New England PatriotsQBRushing Yards3.5→5.5—Over the line 8/15
Kendre Millervs Cleveland BrownsRBRushing Yards37.5↓24.7—Under the line 12/15
Kaelon Blackvs Las Vegas RaidersRBRushing Yards41.5↑33.3—Under the line 5/7
Geno Smithvs Kansas City ChiefsQBRushing Yards6.5→4.9—Under the line 8/15
J.J. McCarthyvs Philadelphia EaglesQBRushing Yards16.5↓16.2—Under the line 7/13
Bucky Irvingvs Chicago BearsRBRushing Yards64.5↓76.1—Under the line 9/15
Keaton Mitchellvs Houston TexansRBReceiving Yards6.5→8—Over the line 8/15
Rachaad Whitevs Los Angeles RamsRBRush Attempts10.5↓6.8—Under the line 13/15
Jahmyr Gibbsvs Miami DolphinsRBRushing Yards97.5→86.9—Under the line 9/15
J.K. Dobbinsvs Carolina PanthersRBRushing Yards25.5→57.1—Over the line 13/15
Javonte Williamsvs Indianapolis ColtsRBRushing Yards73.5↑67.5—Under the line 10/15
Daniel Jonesvs Dallas CowboysQBRushing Yards8.5→10.9—Under the line 10/15
Malik Willisvs Detroit LionsQBRushing Yards29.5↑24.8—Under the line 9/15
Patrick Mahomesvs New York JetsQBRushing Yards12.5↑18.5—Over the line 10/15
Corey Kinervs Green Bay PackersRBRushing Yards21.5→20.6—Under the line 8/12
Brock Purdyvs Las Vegas RaidersQBRushing Yards15.5↓23.1—Over the line 11/15
Baker Mayfieldvs Chicago BearsQBRushing Yards16.5→20.3—Over the line 8/15
Saquon Barkleyvs New York GiantsRBRushing Yards54.5↓66.7—Over the line 11/15
Chuba Hubbardvs Denver BroncosRBRushing Yards69.5↓52.3—Under the line 10/15
Alvin Kamaravs Cleveland BrownsRBRushing Yards35.5↑30.1—Under the line 11/15
Braelon Allenvs Kansas City ChiefsRBRushing Yards33.5→45.8—Under the line 9/15
Rachaad Whitevs Los Angeles RamsRBRushing Yards35.5↓32.3—Under the line 8/15
Tyler Allgeiervs Seattle SeahawksRBRushing Yards49.5↑37.1—Under the line 12/15
Drake Mayevs Green Bay PackersQBRushing Yards25.5→32.1—Under the line 8/15
Ashton Jeantyvs San Francisco 49ersRBRushing Yards27.5↓50.5—Over the line 11/15
Kenneth Gainwellvs Chicago BearsRBRushing Yards22.5↑34—Under the line 10/15
Harold Fannin Jr.vs New Orleans SaintsTEReceiving Yards43.5→49.7—Under the line 9/15
Audric Estimevs Cleveland BrownsRBRushing Yards34.5↑25.3—Under the line 12/15
Dylan Sampsonvs New Orleans SaintsRBRushing Yards17.5↑12.7—Under the line 9/15
Ollie Gordon IIvs Detroit LionsRBRushing Yards69.5↓32.3—Under the line 12/15
Kenneth Walker IIIvs New York JetsRBRushing Yards92.5↑91.8—Over the line 8/15
Emmett Johnsonvs New York JetsRBRushing Yards12.5↑11—Over the line 4/7
Austin Ekelervs Los Angeles RamsRBRushing Yards24.5↓25.2—Over the line 8/15
Devin Singletaryvs Philadelphia EaglesRBRushing Yards54.5↓29—Under the line 14/15
Trevor Etiennevs Denver BroncosRBRushing Yards6.5↑2—Under the line 13/15
Quinshon Judkinsvs New Orleans SaintsRBRushing Yards68.5↑46.8—Under the line 11/15
Shedeur Sandersvs New Orleans SaintsQBRushing Yards16.5↓15.4—Under the line 6/11
Seth McGowanvs Dallas CowboysRBRushing Yards27.5→20.4—Under the line 5/8
Elijah Mitchellvs New York GiantsRBRushing Yards24.5↓19.3—Under the line 11/15
Omarion Hamptonvs Houston TexansRBRushing Yards35.5↓52.1—Over the line 10/15
Christian McCaffreyvs Las Vegas RaidersRBRushing Yards60.5→64.5—Over the line 8/15
D'Andre Swiftvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersRBRushing Yards62.5↓65.9—Under the line 8/15
Roschon Johnsonvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersRBRushing Yards16.5↓8—Under the line 13/15
Kyren Williamsvs Washington CommandersRBRushing Yards61.5↑68.7—Over the line 8/15
Blake Corumvs Washington CommandersRBRushing Yards48.5↓46.9—Under the line 8/15
Jonah Colemanvs Carolina PanthersRBRushing Yards55.5→33.5—Under the line 4/4
C.J. Stroudvs Los Angeles ChargersQBRushing Yards7.5→7.4—Under the line 9/15
Jadarian Pricevs Arizona CardinalsRBRushing Yards57.5↑37—Under the line 4/4
Zach Charbonnetvs Arizona CardinalsRBRushing Yards34.5↓45.1—Over the line 9/15
Josh Jacobsvs New England PatriotsRBRushing Yards45.5↓58.6—Over the line 9/15
Chig Okonkwovs Los Angeles RamsTEReceiving Yards35.5↑34.9—Under the line 8/15
Braelon Allenvs Kansas City ChiefsRBRush Attempts9.5→9.5—Under the line 9/15
Tucker Kraftvs New England PatriotsTEReceiving Yards45.5↓54.9—Over the line 8/15
Tyler Goodsonvs Indianapolis ColtsRBRushing Yards18.5↓6.9—Under the line 13/15
Gardner Minshew IIvs Seattle SeahawksQBRushing Yards5.5↑3.7—Under the line 10/15
Bo Nixvs Carolina PanthersQBRushing Yards13.5↓19.1—Under the line 9/15
Woody Marksvs Los Angeles ChargersRBRush Attempts16.5→13.8—Under the line 10/15
J.J. McCarthyvs Philadelphia EaglesQBPassing Yards210.5↑163.6—Under the line 9/13
Tyler Shoughvs Cleveland BrownsQBRushing Yards14.5↓18.9—Over the line 8/15
Jonathan Taylorvs Dallas CowboysRBRush Attempts14.5↑18.8—Over the line 13/15
Bryce Youngvs Denver BroncosQBRushing Yards7.5↑12.7—Over the line 8/15
Bo Nixvs Carolina PanthersQBCompletions20.5↑21.7—Over the line 8/15
Kalif Raymondvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersWRReceiving Yards16.5→32.2—Over the line 9/15
DeMario Douglasvs Green Bay PackersWRReceptions3.5→2.5—Under the line 11/15
Christian McCaffreyvs Las Vegas RaidersRBRush Attempts13.5→15.2—Over the line 9/15
J.K. Dobbinsvs Carolina PanthersRBRush Attempts7.5→13.7—Over the line 13/15
Blake Corumvs Washington CommandersRBRush Attempts10.5→9.7—Under the line 8/15
Jerry Jeudyvs New Orleans SaintsWRReceptions1.5→2.3—Over the line 11/15
Marvin Harrison Jr.vs Los Angeles ChargersWRReceiving Yards24.5↓39.4—Over the line 10/15
Audric Estimevs Cleveland BrownsRBRush Attempts8.5↑6.8—Under the line 9/15
Kenneth Gainwellvs Chicago BearsRBRush Attempts6.5→7.1—Under the line 10/15
Adonai Mitchellvs Kansas City ChiefsWRReceptions3.5→2.8—Under the line 11/15
Bucky Irvingvs Chicago BearsRBRush Attempts15.5→17.6—Over the line 10/15
Greg Dulcichvs Detroit LionsTEReceptions3.5→2.9—Under the line 10/15
Ted Hurst IIIvs Chicago BearsWRReceptions1.5→1.4—Over the line 4/8
Omarion Hamptonvs Houston TexansRBRush Attempts10.5→12.7—Over the line 11/15
Emmett Johnsonvs New York JetsRBRush Attempts3.5→2.9—Under the line 5/7
Brandin Cooksvs Las Vegas RaidersWRReceptions1.5→1.3—Under the line 10/15
Marvin Mims Jr.vs Carolina PanthersWRReceptions1.5→2.4—Over the line 11/15
Jordan Watkinsvs Las Vegas RaidersWRReceptions1.5→0.9—Under the line 7/9
Tyler Allgeiervs Seattle SeahawksRBReceptions2.5→1.9—Under the line 12/15
Charlie Kolarvs Houston TexansTEReceptions1.5→1.1—Under the line 11/15
Kayshon Bouttevs Los Angeles ChargersWRReceptions1.5→2.1—Over the line 9/15
Austin Ekelervs Los Angeles RamsRBReceptions1.5→2.6—Over the line 11/15
Braelon Allenvs Kansas City ChiefsRBReceptions1.5→1.5—Under the line 8/15
Tory Hortonvs Arizona CardinalsWRReceptions1.5→1.4—Under the line 9/15
Dylan Sampsonvs New Orleans SaintsRBReceptions2.5→2.1—Under the line 10/15
Savion Williamsvs New England PatriotsWRReceptions1.5→1.2—Under the line 10/15
Jameson Williamsvs Miami DolphinsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 9/15
Trey McBridevs Seattle SeahawksTEAnytime TD0.5→0.6—Over the line 8/15
Stefon Diggsvs Los Angeles RamsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 9/15
Tucker Kraftvs New England PatriotsTEAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 8/15
DeMario Douglasvs Green Bay PackersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Isaiah Likelyvs Philadelphia EaglesTEAnytime TD0.5→0.4—Under the line 11/15
Dallas Goedertvs New York GiantsTEAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 10/15
J.K. Dobbinsvs Carolina PanthersRBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Drake Mayevs Green Bay PackersQBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Tre Tuckervs San Francisco 49ersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 12/15
Michael Wilsonvs Seattle SeahawksWRAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 8/15
Devaughn Velevs Cleveland BrownsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Marvin Harrison Jr.vs Los Angeles ChargersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 10/15
Darren Wallervs Denver BroncosTEAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 10/15
Omar Cooper Jr.vs Kansas City ChiefsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Over the line 2/4
Emanuel Wilsonvs Arizona CardinalsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 12/15
Sean Tuckervs Chicago BearsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 9/15
Foster Moreauvs Los Angeles ChargersTEAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 13/15
Tyler Shoughvs Cleveland BrownsQBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Davis Allenvs Washington CommandersTEAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Darius Coopervs New York GiantsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 12/15
Tory Hortonvs Arizona CardinalsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.5—Under the line 10/15
Kevin Coleman Jr.vs Detroit LionsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 5/7
Kyle Williamsvs Green Bay PackersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Kyle Juszczykvs Las Vegas RaidersFBAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Bo Nixvs Carolina PanthersQBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Tommy Tremblevs Denver BroncosTEAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 13/15
Noah Fantvs Cleveland BrownsTEAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 12/15
Kimani Vidalvs Houston TexansRBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 11/15
Nate Adkinsvs Carolina PanthersTEAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Jalen Nailorvs San Francisco 49ersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 13/15
Salvon Ahmedvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersRBAnytime TD0.5→0.3—Under the line 6/8
Isaiah Williamsvs Kansas City ChiefsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Theo Johnsonvs Philadelphia EaglesTEAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Tez Johnsonvs Chicago BearsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 13/15
Bryce Lancevs Cleveland BrownsWRAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 6/7
Bryce Youngvs Denver BroncosQBAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Anthony Tyus IIIvs Denver BroncosRBAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 4/5
Jaydon Bluevs New York GiantsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 5/6
Kirk Cousinsvs San Francisco 49ersQBAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 13/15
Cody Whitevs San Francisco 49ersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 13/15
Mo Alie-Coxvs Dallas CowboysTEAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 13/15
Teagan Quitorianovs Seattle SeahawksTEAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
George Holanivs Arizona CardinalsRBAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 13/15
Theo Wease Jr.vs Houston TexansWRAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 4/5
Hayden Ruccivs Houston TexansTEAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 8/9
Jahdae Walkervs Tampa Bay BuccaneersWRAnytime TD0.5→0.2—Under the line 12/15
Jordan Lovevs New England PatriotsQBAnytime TD0.5→0.1—Under the line 14/15
Unlock Trust and Edge on every row

One free pick per league stays open. The rest of the model's judgement is for members.

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How to read the NFL cheat sheet

What the NFL player prop cheat sheet columns mean

One row of the NFLplayer prop cheat sheet is one prop. It carries the market, the line, the price, the player's own average over the same window and a chart of their last 15 games against that exact line. Green bars finished above the line, red bars did not, and the dashed line is the line itself. The count under the chart says how many of the 15 landed above it.

What Trust and Edge mean

Trust is how strongly the model backs this side, on our own scale: higher means more confidence, and the top of the board is where it is highest. Edge is what the price is worth against the model's own read of it. A pick can be very likely and still lose money, which is why a high trust row is one where nothing in the inputs argues with anything else. How AI sports predictions work.

The matchup grade

The opponent column grades how the other side handles this exact market. A is the strongest defense and F the weakest; the model's own words for the scale are A Strong, B Good, C Neutral, E Weak. It is coloured against the pick, not on its own: a weak defense is green on an Over and red on an Under, a strong one the other way round.

Sorting, filtering and search

Members get the sheet in trust order, best call first. Without a membership the board is shuffled, so the order gives nothing away, and the free pick sits on top either way, since it is the highest trust on the board anyway. From there, sort by line to read it the way a board reads, by odds when you are shopping price, by games over the line when you want the form to do the talking, or by name when you already know who you are looking for. The market and team pickers narrow the table, and the search box matches player, team or market at once.

What is free and what is not

The board itself is free: every prop, every line, every price, every chart. What a membership unlocks is the model's judgement: which side it takes, its calibrated trust, the edge at that price, and how much it trusts the call, how the matchup grades and what it expects from the minutes. One pick per league stays fully open so you can see the whole thing before paying for it.

When it updates

The sheet is rebuilt from the morning slate and refreshed through the day as lines move. If a sport is out of season the page stays up and fills back in with the schedule.