Aston Villa vs Man City prediction
Aston Villa vs Man City prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchOur pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to win | +379 (4.79) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +327 (4.27) | Pinnacle | ||
| Man City to win | -159 (1.63) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 goals | -114 (1.88) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3 goals | -104 (1.96) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Aston Villa and Man City form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | LDLWD→ | 6 | 16 | 5 | 0.83 |
| Man City | WWWWW→ | 6 | 1 | 18 | 3 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Aston Villa vs Man City, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Aston Villa last 5
1W 2D 2L
Man City last 5
5W 0D 0L
Aston Villa points per game
0.8
Man City points per game
3.0
Aston Villa scored
1.5
Man City scored
2.4
Aston Villa conceded
1.8
Man City conceded
0.8
Aston Villa goals in game
3.3
Man City goals in game
3.2
Aston Villa opponents per game
1.4
Man City opponents per game
1.5
Aston Villa over 2.5
55%
Man City over 2.5
70%
Aston Villa both scored
65%
Man City both scored
55%
Aston Villa first half goals
1.3
Man City first half goals
1.2
Aston Villa second half goals
2.0
Man City second half goals
2.0
Aston Villa vs Man City head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.8
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
6 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Man City v Aston Villa | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa v Man City | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2025-04-22 | Man City v Aston Villa | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa v Man City | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-04-03 | Man City v Aston Villa | 4–1 | 5 |
| 2023-12-06 | Aston Villa v Man City | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2023-02-12 | Man City v Aston Villa | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2022-09-03 | Aston Villa v Man City | 1–1 | 2 |
Why
01Aston Villa is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.
02Man City is in excellent form: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Unbeaten in 6.
03Last 8 meetings: Aston Villa 4, 1 draw, Man City 3.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.65%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.