Man United vs Aston Villa prediction
Man United vs Aston Villa prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United to win | +126 (2.26) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +282 (3.82) | Pinnacle | ||
| Aston Villa to win | +189 (2.89) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 goals | -102 (1.98) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3 goals | -118 (1.85) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Man United and Aston Villa form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Man United | DDDLL→ | 9 | 17 | 7 | 0.78 |
| Aston Villa | WDWWD→ | 9 | 9 | 12 | 1.33 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Man United vs Aston Villa, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Man United last 5
0W 3D 2L
Aston Villa last 5
3W 2D 0L
Man United points per game
0.8
Aston Villa points per game
1.3
Man United scored
1.3
Aston Villa scored
1.2
Man United conceded
1.5
Aston Villa conceded
1.4
Man United goals in game
2.8
Aston Villa goals in game
2.6
Man United opponents per game
1.3
Aston Villa opponents per game
1.4
Man United over 2.5
60%
Aston Villa over 2.5
60%
Man United both scored
65%
Aston Villa both scored
65%
Man United first half goals
1.0
Aston Villa first half goals
1.1
Man United second half goals
1.9
Aston Villa second half goals
1.6
Man United vs Aston Villa head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.8
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Man United v Aston Villa | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2025-12-21 | Aston Villa v Man United | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2025-05-25 | Man United v Aston Villa | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2024-10-06 | Aston Villa v Man United | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Aston Villa v Man United | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2023-12-26 | Man United v Aston Villa | 3–2 | 5 |
| 2023-04-30 | Man United v Aston Villa | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2022-11-06 | Aston Villa v Man United | 3–1 | 4 |
Man United picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Chelsea vs Man United | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:0 | LOSS |
| 25 Oct | Man United vs Bournemouth | Over 2.5 | 1.62 | 0:3 | WIN |
Aston Villa picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Aston Villa vs Fulham | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 1:1 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Aston Villa vs Man City | Over 2.5 | 1.53 | 2:1 | WIN |
Why
01Man United is in a slump: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.
02Aston Villa is in good form: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Unbeaten in 5.
03Last 8 meetings: Man United 5, 1 draw, Aston Villa 2.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.03%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.