Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction
Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa to win | -128 (1.78) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +292 (3.92) | Pinnacle | ||
| Sunderland to win | +354 (4.54) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | -101 (1.99) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | -114 (1.88) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Aston Villa and Sunderland form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | DWWDD→ | 10 | 10 | 13 | 1.3 |
| Sunderland | LLDLW→ | 10 | 19 | 8 | 0.8 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Aston Villa vs Sunderland, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Aston Villa last 5
2W 3D 0L
Sunderland last 5
1W 1D 3L
Aston Villa points per game
1.3
Sunderland points per game
0.8
Aston Villa scored
1.4
Sunderland scored
0.8
Aston Villa conceded
1.7
Sunderland conceded
1.7
Aston Villa goals in game
3.1
Sunderland goals in game
2.5
Aston Villa opponents per game
1.4
Sunderland opponents per game
1.5
Aston Villa over 2.5
65%
Sunderland over 2.5
40%
Aston Villa both scored
70%
Sunderland both scored
45%
Aston Villa first half goals
1.4
Sunderland first half goals
1.1
Aston Villa second half goals
1.7
Sunderland second half goals
1.4
Aston Villa vs Sunderland head to head
2 meetingsMeetings
2
Goals per meeting
4.5
Over 2.5
1 of 2
Both scored
2 of 2
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Aston Villa v Sunderland | 4–3 | 7 |
| 2025-09-21 | Sunderland v Aston Villa | 1–1 | 2 |
Aston Villa picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Man United vs Aston Villa | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 4:4 | WIN |
| 31 Oct | Aston Villa vs Fulham | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 1:1 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Aston Villa vs Man City | Over 2.5 | 1.53 | 2:1 | WIN |
Sunderland picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Sunderland vs Chelsea | Over 2.5 | 1.83 | 1:0 | LOSS |
| 31 Oct | Coventry vs Sunderland | Under 2.5 | 1.88 | 3:1 | LOSS |
| 25 Oct | Sunderland vs Leeds | Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 0:0 | WIN |
Why
01Aston Villa is inconsistent: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.6 per game. Unbeaten in 6.
02Sunderland is in poor form: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per game.
03Last 2 meetings: Aston Villa 1, 1 draw, Sunderland 0. Sunderland have not won any of them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 3.72%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.