Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction
Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona to win | -435 (1.23) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +508 (6.08) | Pinnacle | ||
| Villarreal to win | +899 (9.99) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4 goals | -127 (1.79) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 4 goals | -101 (1.99) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Barcelona and Villarreal form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | WWLWW→ | 12 | 1 | 33 | 2.75 |
| Villarreal | LDWLW→ | 12 | 8 | 15 | 1.25 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Barcelona vs Villarreal, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Barcelona last 5
4W 0D 1L
Villarreal last 5
2W 1D 2L
Barcelona points per game
2.8
Villarreal points per game
1.3
Barcelona scored
4.1
Villarreal scored
1.3
Barcelona conceded
1.3
Villarreal conceded
1.1
Barcelona goals in game
5.4
Villarreal goals in game
2.4
Barcelona opponents per game
1.7
Villarreal opponents per game
1.4
Barcelona over 2.5
75%
Villarreal over 2.5
60%
Barcelona both scored
60%
Villarreal both scored
70%
Barcelona first half goals
2.6
Villarreal first half goals
1.2
Barcelona second half goals
2.8
Villarreal second half goals
1.2
Barcelona vs Villarreal head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
4.6
Over 2.5
6 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Barcelona v Villarreal | 4–1 | 5 |
| 2025-12-21 | Villarreal v Barcelona | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2025-05-18 | Barcelona v Villarreal | 2–3 | 5 |
| 2024-09-22 | Villarreal v Barcelona | 1–5 | 6 |
| 2024-01-27 | Barcelona v Villarreal | 3–5 | 8 |
| 2023-08-27 | Villarreal v Barcelona | 3–4 | 7 |
| 2023-02-12 | Villarreal v Barcelona | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2022-10-20 | Barcelona v Villarreal | 3–0 | 3 |
Barcelona picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Ath Madrid vs Barcelona | Barcelona to win | 1.83 | 1:2 | WIN |
| 25 Oct | Barcelona vs Real Madrid | Barcelona to win | 1.62 | 1:2 | LOSS |
Villarreal picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Villarreal vs Getafe | Villarreal to win | 1.42 | 2:0 | WIN |
| 30 Oct | Villarreal vs Espanol | Villarreal to win | 1.40 | 0:1 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Valencia vs Villarreal | Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 1:2 | WIN |
Why
01Barcelona is in excellent form: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 3.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.
02Villarreal is inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Barcelona 6, 0 draws, Villarreal 2.
04Villarreal generate 0.77 expected goals and concede 1.96 per game. They are scoring 0.53 more than expected, so finishing is running above average and is unlikely to hold.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 7.76%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.