Valencia vs Villarreal prediction
Valencia vs Villarreal prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchOur pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia to win | +214 (3.14) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +282 (3.82) | Pinnacle | ||
| Villarreal to win | +113 (2.13) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | -111 (1.90) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | -108 (1.93) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Valencia and Villarreal form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | LLWLD→ | 8 | 19 | 5 | 0.62 |
| Villarreal | LLWWL→ | 8 | 11 | 8 | 1 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Valencia vs Villarreal, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Valencia last 5
1W 1D 3L
Villarreal last 5
2W 0D 3L
Valencia points per game
0.6
Villarreal points per game
1.0
Valencia scored
1.3
Villarreal scored
1.8
Valencia conceded
1.9
Villarreal conceded
1.6
Valencia goals in game
3.2
Villarreal goals in game
3.4
Valencia opponents per game
1.6
Villarreal opponents per game
1.7
Valencia over 2.5
45%
Villarreal over 2.5
65%
Valencia both scored
50%
Villarreal both scored
80%
Valencia first half goals
1.1
Villarreal first half goals
2.1
Valencia second half goals
2.1
Villarreal second half goals
1.3
Valencia vs Villarreal head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.4
Over 2.5
3 of 8
Both scored
6 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Villarreal v Valencia | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Valencia v Villarreal | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2025-02-15 | Villarreal v Valencia | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-08-31 | Valencia v Villarreal | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Villarreal v Valencia | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2024-01-02 | Valencia v Villarreal | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2023-05-03 | Valencia v Villarreal | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2022-12-31 | Villarreal v Valencia | 2–1 | 3 |
Why
01Valencia is in poor form: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game.
02Villarreal is inconsistent: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Valencia 1, 3 draws, Villarreal 4.
04Villarreal generate 0.77 expected goals and concede 1.96 per game. They are scoring 1.03 more than expected, so finishing is running above average and is unlikely to hold.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 4.97%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.