Bayern Munich vs Dortmund prediction
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund prediction in the Bundesliga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich to win | -294 (1.34) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +455 (5.55) | Pinnacle | ||
| Dortmund to win | +660 (7.60) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4 goals | -125 (1.80) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 4 goals | +105 (2.05) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Bayern Munich and Dortmund form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | DWWDW→ | 6 | 1 | 14 | 2.33 |
| Dortmund | WWWDD→ | 6 | 2 | 14 | 2.33 |
The full table is on the Bundesliga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Bayern Munich last 5
3W 2D 0L
Dortmund last 5
3W 2D 0L
Bayern Munich points per game
2.3
Dortmund points per game
2.3
Bayern Munich scored
3.5
Dortmund scored
2.0
Bayern Munich conceded
1.2
Dortmund conceded
0.7
Bayern Munich goals in game
4.7
Dortmund goals in game
2.7
Bayern Munich opponents per game
1.6
Dortmund opponents per game
1.3
Bayern Munich over 2.5
85%
Dortmund over 2.5
60%
Bayern Munich both scored
70%
Dortmund both scored
45%
Bayern Munich first half goals
1.9
Dortmund first half goals
1.0
Bayern Munich second half goals
2.8
Dortmund second half goals
1.7
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.8
Over 2.5
6 of 8
Both scored
6 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Dortmund v Bayern Munich | 2–3 | 5 |
| 2025-10-18 | Bayern Munich v Dortmund | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2025-04-12 | Bayern Munich v Dortmund | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-11-30 | Dortmund v Bayern Munich | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayern Munich v Dortmund | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Dortmund v Bayern Munich | 0–4 | 4 |
| 2023-04-01 | Bayern Munich v Dortmund | 4–2 | 6 |
| 2022-10-08 | Dortmund v Bayern Munich | 2–2 | 4 |
Bayern Munich picks we published
No graded pick on a Bayern Munich match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Dortmund picks we published
No graded pick on a Dortmund match yet. Each pick we publish shows here once the match is played.
Why
01Bayern Munich is in good form: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 3.4 and conceding 0.8 per game. Unbeaten in 20.
02Dortmund is in good form: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Unbeaten in 8.
03Last 8 meetings: Bayern Munich 4, 3 draws, Dortmund 1.
04Bayern Munich generate 4.08 expected goals and concede 1.25 per game. They are scoring 0.58 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.80%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.