Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon prediction
Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon prediction in the Primeira Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia to win | +1032 (11.32) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +574 (6.74) | Pinnacle | ||
| Sp Lisbon to win | -455 (1.22) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 goals | -118 (1.85) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3 goals | -101 (1.99) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Casa Pia and Sp Lisbon form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | DLWLW→ | 9 | 16 | 7 | 0.78 |
| Sp Lisbon | WDDWL→ | 9 | 3 | 18 | 2 |
The full table is on the Primeira Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Casa Pia last 5
2W 1D 2L
Sp Lisbon last 5
2W 2D 1L
Casa Pia points per game
0.8
Sp Lisbon points per game
2.0
Casa Pia scored
0.6
Sp Lisbon scored
2.4
Casa Pia conceded
1.8
Sp Lisbon conceded
1.1
Casa Pia goals in game
2.4
Sp Lisbon goals in game
3.5
Casa Pia opponents per game
1.4
Sp Lisbon opponents per game
1.5
Casa Pia over 2.5
30%
Sp Lisbon over 2.5
80%
Casa Pia both scored
35%
Sp Lisbon both scored
75%
Casa Pia first half goals
0.9
Sp Lisbon first half goals
1.6
Casa Pia second half goals
1.6
Sp Lisbon second half goals
2.0
Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
4.1
Over 2.5
6 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | Sp Lisbon v Casa Pia | 3–0 | 3 |
| 2025-08-08 | Casa Pia v Sp Lisbon | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Casa Pia v Sp Lisbon | 1–3 | 4 |
| 2024-10-05 | Sp Lisbon v Casa Pia | 2–0 | 2 |
| 2024-01-29 | Sp Lisbon v Casa Pia | 8–0 | 8 |
| 2023-08-18 | Casa Pia v Sp Lisbon | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2023-04-09 | Casa Pia v Sp Lisbon | 3–4 | 7 |
| 2022-10-22 | Sp Lisbon v Casa Pia | 3–1 | 4 |
Casa Pia picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Estrela vs Casa Pia | Estrela to win | 1.76 | 0:2 | LOSS |
Sp Lisbon picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Sp Lisbon vs Academico Viseu | Over 2.5 | 1.48 | 1:2 | WIN |
Why
01Casa Pia is inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.
02Sp Lisbon is inconsistent: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Casa Pia 0, 0 draws, Sp Lisbon 8. Casa Pia have not won any of them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.64%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.