Chelsea vs Leeds prediction
Chelsea vs Leeds prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea to win | -111 (1.90) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +279 (3.79) | Pinnacle | ||
| Leeds to win | +302 (4.02) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | -101 (1.99) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | -114 (1.88) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Chelsea and Leeds form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | WWLWL→ | 10 | 5 | 16 | 1.6 |
| Leeds | LDDLW→ | 10 | 9 | 14 | 1.4 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Chelsea vs Leeds, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Chelsea last 5
3W 0D 2L
Leeds last 5
1W 2D 2L
Chelsea points per game
1.6
Leeds points per game
1.4
Chelsea scored
1.9
Leeds scored
1.0
Chelsea conceded
1.6
Leeds conceded
0.8
Chelsea goals in game
3.5
Leeds goals in game
1.8
Chelsea opponents per game
1.4
Leeds opponents per game
1.6
Chelsea over 2.5
65%
Leeds over 2.5
35%
Chelsea both scored
50%
Leeds both scored
45%
Chelsea first half goals
1.5
Leeds first half goals
0.7
Chelsea second half goals
2.0
Leeds second half goals
1.1
Chelsea vs Leeds head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.0
Over 2.5
6 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | Chelsea v Leeds | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2025-12-03 | Leeds v Chelsea | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2023-03-04 | Chelsea v Leeds | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Leeds v Chelsea | 3–0 | 3 |
| 2022-05-11 | Leeds v Chelsea | 0–3 | 3 |
| 2021-12-11 | Chelsea v Leeds | 3–2 | 5 |
| 2021-03-13 | Leeds v Chelsea | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2020-12-05 | Chelsea v Leeds | 3–1 | 4 |
Chelsea picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Sunderland vs Chelsea | Over 2.5 | 1.83 | 1:0 | LOSS |
| 31 Oct | Chelsea vs Man United | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:0 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Chelsea vs Tottenham | Over 2.5 | 1.53 | 0:2 | LOSS |
Leeds picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Leeds vs Tottenham | Under 2.5 | 1.88 | 1:0 | WIN |
| 31 Oct | Bournemouth vs Leeds | Over 2.5 | 1.88 | 2:0 | LOSS |
| 25 Oct | Sunderland vs Leeds | Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 0:0 | WIN |
Why
01Chelsea is in good form: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game.
02Leeds is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.0 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Chelsea 4, 2 draws, Leeds 2.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 3.89%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.