Leeds vs Coventry prediction
Leeds vs Coventry prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds to win | -179 (1.56) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +327 (4.27) | Pinnacle | ||
| Coventry to win | +461 (5.61) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | -108 (1.93) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | -111 (1.90) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Leeds and Coventry form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | LDDLW→ | 10 | 9 | 14 | 1.4 |
| Coventry | WLLWL→ | 10 | 17 | 9 | 0.9 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Leeds vs Coventry, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Leeds last 5
1W 2D 2L
Coventry last 5
2W 0D 3L
Leeds points per game
1.4
Coventry points per game
0.9
Leeds scored
1.0
Coventry scored
1.0
Leeds conceded
0.8
Coventry conceded
1.9
Leeds goals in game
1.8
Coventry goals in game
2.9
Leeds opponents per game
1.6
Coventry opponents per game
1.2
Leeds over 2.5
35%
Coventry over 2.5
65%
Leeds both scored
45%
Coventry both scored
45%
Leeds first half goals
0.7
Coventry first half goals
0.8
Leeds second half goals
1.1
Coventry second half goals
2.1
Leeds vs Coventry head to head
4 meetingsMeetings
4
Goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5
2 of 4
Both scored
2 of 4
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-05 | Coventry v Leeds | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Leeds v Coventry | 3–0 | 3 |
| 2024-04-06 | Coventry v Leeds | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2023-12-16 | Leeds v Coventry | 1–1 | 2 |
Leeds picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Leeds vs Tottenham | Under 2.5 | 1.88 | 1:0 | WIN |
| 31 Oct | Bournemouth vs Leeds | Over 2.5 | 1.88 | 2:0 | LOSS |
| 25 Oct | Sunderland vs Leeds | Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 0:0 | WIN |
Coventry picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov | Everton vs Coventry | Everton to win | 1.70 | 3:1 | WIN |
| 31 Oct | Coventry vs Sunderland | Under 2.5 | 1.88 | 3:1 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Coventry vs Fulham | Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 0:1 | LOSS |
Why
01Leeds is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.0 per game.
02Coventry is inconsistent: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8 per game.
03Last 4 meetings: Leeds 2, 1 draw, Coventry 1.
04Coventry generate 0.56 expected goals and concede 1.85 per game. They are scoring 0.44 more than expected, so finishing is running above average and is unlikely to hold.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.35%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.