Lens vs Marseille prediction
Lens vs Marseille prediction in the Ligue 1: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens to win | +107 (2.07) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +291 (3.91) | Pinnacle | ||
| Marseille to win | +221 (3.21) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.25 goals | -103 (1.97) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3.25 goals | -115 (1.87) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Lens and Marseille form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | DLWWW→ | 8 | 7 | 13 | 1.62 |
| Marseille | LLWWW→ | 8 | 8 | 12 | 1.5 |
The full table is on the Ligue 1 page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Lens vs Marseille, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Lens last 5
3W 1D 1L
Marseille last 5
3W 0D 2L
Lens points per game
1.6
Marseille points per game
1.5
Lens scored
2.0
Marseille scored
2.2
Lens conceded
1.4
Marseille conceded
1.4
Lens goals in game
3.4
Marseille goals in game
3.6
Lens opponents per game
1.6
Marseille opponents per game
1.4
Lens over 2.5
75%
Marseille over 2.5
55%
Lens both scored
70%
Marseille both scored
50%
Lens first half goals
1.5
Marseille first half goals
1.1
Lens second half goals
1.9
Marseille second half goals
2.5
Lens vs Marseille head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Marseille v Lens | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Lens v Marseille | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2025-03-08 | Marseille v Lens | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Lens v Marseille | 1–3 | 4 |
| 2024-04-28 | Marseille v Lens | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2023-11-12 | Lens v Marseille | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Lens v Marseille | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2022-10-22 | Marseille v Lens | 0–1 | 1 |
Lens picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Lens vs Paris FC | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 2:1 | WIN |
Marseille picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Marseille vs Le Havre | Over 2.5 | 1.53 | 4:3 | WIN |
Why
01Lens is in good form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.4 per game.
02Marseille is in good form: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Lens 5, 0 draws, Marseille 3.
04Marseille generate 2.35 expected goals and concede 0.19 per game. Their goals match the chances they create.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.04%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.