Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction
Mainz vs Union Berlin prediction in the Bundesliga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz to win | -200 (1.50) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +365 (4.65) | Pinnacle | ||
| Union Berlin to win | +488 (5.88) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3 goals | -115 (1.87) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3 goals | -103 (1.97) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Mainz and Union Berlin form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz | LWLLL→ | 9 | 12 | 10 | 1.11 |
| Union Berlin | WDDDL→ | 9 | 16 | 7 | 0.78 |
The full table is on the Bundesliga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Mainz vs Union Berlin, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Mainz last 5
1W 0D 4L
Union Berlin last 5
1W 3D 1L
Mainz points per game
1.1
Union Berlin points per game
0.8
Mainz scored
2.0
Union Berlin scored
1.1
Mainz conceded
1.9
Union Berlin conceded
2.1
Mainz goals in game
3.9
Union Berlin goals in game
3.2
Mainz opponents per game
1.7
Union Berlin opponents per game
1.5
Mainz over 2.5
65%
Union Berlin over 2.5
60%
Mainz both scored
70%
Union Berlin both scored
55%
Mainz first half goals
2.1
Union Berlin first half goals
1.2
Mainz second half goals
1.8
Union Berlin second half goals
2.0
Mainz vs Union Berlin head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.9
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
7 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Mainz v Union Berlin | 1–3 | 4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Union Berlin v Mainz | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2025-01-19 | Union Berlin v Mainz | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-08-24 | Mainz v Union Berlin | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-02-07 | Mainz v Union Berlin | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2023-08-20 | Union Berlin v Mainz | 4–1 | 5 |
| 2023-02-04 | Union Berlin v Mainz | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2022-08-14 | Mainz v Union Berlin | 0–0 | 0 |
Mainz picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Elversberg vs Mainz | Over 2.5 | 1.44 | 4:1 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Mainz vs Werder Bremen | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:3 | WIN |
Union Berlin picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Freiburg vs Union Berlin | Freiburg to win | 1.48 | 2:0 | WIN |
| 1 Nov | Union Berlin vs FC Koln | Over 2.5 | 1.67 | 1:1 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Augsburg vs Union Berlin | Over 2.5 | 1.50 | 1:1 | LOSS |
Why
01Mainz is in poor form: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.6 per game.
02Union Berlin is in poor form: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Mainz 0, 4 draws, Union Berlin 4. Mainz have not won any of them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.18%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.