Moreirense vs Estrela prediction
Moreirense vs Estrela prediction in the Primeira Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense to win | +205 (3.05) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +228 (3.28) | Pinnacle | ||
| Estrela to win | +140 (2.40) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -101 (1.99) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | -118 (1.85) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Moreirense and Estrela form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | LWDLW→ | 9 | 10 | 11 | 1.22 |
| Estrela | WDLLL→ | 9 | 11 | 10 | 1.11 |
The full table is on the Primeira Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Moreirense vs Estrela, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Moreirense last 5
2W 1D 2L
Estrela last 5
1W 1D 3L
Moreirense points per game
1.2
Estrela points per game
1.1
Moreirense scored
1.1
Estrela scored
1.6
Moreirense conceded
1.6
Estrela conceded
1.9
Moreirense goals in game
2.7
Estrela goals in game
3.5
Moreirense opponents per game
1.3
Estrela opponents per game
1.4
Moreirense over 2.5
45%
Estrela over 2.5
60%
Moreirense both scored
50%
Estrela both scored
55%
Moreirense first half goals
1.2
Estrela first half goals
1.3
Moreirense second half goals
1.3
Estrela second half goals
2.3
Moreirense vs Estrela head to head
6 meetingsMeetings
6
Goals per meeting
2.5
Over 2.5
3 of 6
Both scored
4 of 6
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Moreirense v Estrela | 3–2 | 5 |
| 2025-12-20 | Estrela v Moreirense | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Moreirense v Estrela | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-09-28 | Estrela v Moreirense | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2024-04-07 | Moreirense v Estrela | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2023-11-11 | Estrela v Moreirense | 0–1 | 1 |
Moreirense picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Estoril vs Moreirense | Under 2.5 | 1.88 | 1:3 | LOSS |
Estrela picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Estrela vs Casa Pia | Estrela to win | 1.76 | 0:2 | LOSS |
Why
01Moreirense is inconsistent: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game.
02Estrela is in poor form: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8 per game.
03Last 6 meetings: Moreirense 2, 3 draws, Estrela 1.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 4.94%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.