Sociedad vs Vallecano prediction
Sociedad vs Vallecano prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociedad to win | -132 (1.76) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +298 (3.98) | Pinnacle | ||
| Vallecano to win | +329 (4.29) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.75 goals | -118 (1.85) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.75 goals | +100 (2.00) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Sociedad and Vallecano form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociedad | LWWWW→ | 10 | 5 | 19 | 1.9 |
| Vallecano | WDDLW→ | 10 | 11 | 12 | 1.2 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Sociedad vs Vallecano, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Sociedad last 5
4W 0D 1L
Vallecano last 5
2W 2D 1L
Sociedad points per game
1.9
Vallecano points per game
1.2
Sociedad scored
1.9
Vallecano scored
1.5
Sociedad conceded
1.8
Vallecano conceded
2.0
Sociedad goals in game
3.7
Vallecano goals in game
3.5
Sociedad opponents per game
1.4
Vallecano opponents per game
1.2
Sociedad over 2.5
65%
Vallecano over 2.5
50%
Sociedad both scored
70%
Vallecano both scored
60%
Sociedad first half goals
1.4
Vallecano first half goals
1.9
Sociedad second half goals
2.3
Vallecano second half goals
1.7
Sociedad vs Vallecano head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
2.9
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Vallecano v Sociedad | 3–3 | 6 |
| 2025-10-05 | Sociedad v Vallecano | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Vallecano v Sociedad | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-08-18 | Sociedad v Vallecano | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2024-01-27 | Sociedad v Vallecano | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Vallecano v Sociedad | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2023-04-22 | Sociedad v Vallecano | 2–1 | 3 |
| 2023-01-21 | Vallecano v Sociedad | 0–2 | 2 |
Sociedad picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Sociedad vs Levante | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:1 | WIN |
Vallecano picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Vallecano vs Celta | Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 3:0 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Vallecano vs Elche | Vallecano to win | 1.80 | 0:3 | LOSS |
Why
01Sociedad is in excellent form: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 2.6 and conceding 2.0 per game. Unbeaten in 4.
02Vallecano is inconsistent: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Sociedad 2, 4 draws, Vallecano 2.
04Vallecano generate 1.91 expected goals and concede 2.02 per game. They are scoring 0.41 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.25%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.