Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction
Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 2 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia to win | +591 (6.91) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +483 (5.83) | Pinnacle | ||
| Real Madrid to win | -286 (1.35) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.25 goals | -120 (1.83) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 3.25 goals | +102 (2.02) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Valencia and Real Madrid form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | WLDDL→ | 10 | 19 | 6 | 0.6 |
| Real Madrid | WLWWW→ | 10 | 3 | 24 | 2.4 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Valencia vs Real Madrid, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Valencia last 5
1W 2D 2L
Real Madrid last 5
4W 0D 1L
Valencia points per game
0.6
Real Madrid points per game
2.4
Valencia scored
0.7
Real Madrid scored
2.5
Valencia conceded
1.7
Real Madrid conceded
1.0
Valencia goals in game
2.4
Real Madrid goals in game
3.5
Valencia opponents per game
1.3
Real Madrid opponents per game
1.7
Valencia over 2.5
45%
Real Madrid over 2.5
60%
Valencia both scored
50%
Real Madrid both scored
65%
Valencia first half goals
0.9
Real Madrid first half goals
1.5
Valencia second half goals
1.5
Real Madrid second half goals
2.0
Valencia vs Real Madrid head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.1
Over 2.5
5 of 8
Both scored
4 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 0–2 | 2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 4–0 | 4 |
| 2025-04-05 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2025-01-03 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2024-03-02 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2023-11-11 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 5–1 | 6 |
| 2023-05-21 | Valencia v Real Madrid | 1–0 | 1 |
| 2023-02-02 | Real Madrid v Valencia | 2–0 | 2 |
Valencia picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Valencia vs Villarreal | Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 1:2 | WIN |
Real Madrid picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Barcelona vs Real Madrid | Barcelona to win | 1.62 | 1:2 | LOSS |
Why
01Valencia is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game.
02Real Madrid is in excellent form: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in the last 5. Scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Valencia 2, 1 draw, Real Madrid 5.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.70%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.