Vallecano vs Valencia prediction
Vallecano vs Valencia prediction in the La Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vallecano to win | -104 (1.96) | Pinnacle | ||
| Draw | +255 (3.55) | Pinnacle | ||
| Valencia to win | +307 (4.07) | Pinnacle |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.25 goals | -127 (1.79) | Pinnacle | ||
| Under 2.25 goals | +110 (2.10) | Pinnacle |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Vallecano and Valencia form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vallecano | DDLWL→ | 11 | 14 | 12 | 1.09 |
| Valencia | DDLWL→ | 12 | 19 | 9 | 0.75 |
The full table is on the La Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Vallecano vs Valencia, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Vallecano last 5
1W 2D 2L
Valencia last 5
1W 2D 2L
Vallecano points per game
1.1
Valencia points per game
0.8
Vallecano scored
1.4
Valencia scored
0.8
Vallecano conceded
1.9
Valencia conceded
1.9
Vallecano goals in game
3.3
Valencia goals in game
2.7
Vallecano opponents per game
1.1
Valencia opponents per game
1.6
Vallecano over 2.5
50%
Valencia over 2.5
45%
Vallecano both scored
60%
Valencia both scored
45%
Vallecano first half goals
1.7
Valencia first half goals
1.1
Vallecano second half goals
1.6
Valencia second half goals
1.6
Vallecano vs Valencia head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
1.6
Over 2.5
1 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Valencia v Vallecano | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2025-12-01 | Vallecano v Valencia | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Vallecano v Valencia | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Valencia v Vallecano | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Valencia v Vallecano | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2023-12-19 | Vallecano v Valencia | 0–1 | 1 |
| 2023-04-03 | Valencia v Vallecano | 1–1 | 2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Vallecano v Valencia | 2–1 | 3 |
Vallecano picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Sociedad vs Vallecano | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 1:0 | LOSS |
| 31 Oct | Vallecano vs Celta | Under 2.5 | 1.73 | 3:0 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Vallecano vs Elche | Vallecano to win | 1.80 | 0:3 | LOSS |
Valencia picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov | Valencia vs Real Madrid | Over 2.5 | 1.44 | 0:3 | WIN |
| 1 Nov | Elche vs Valencia | Under 2.5 | 1.88 | 0:1 | WIN |
| 24 Oct | Valencia vs Villarreal | Over 2.5 | 1.73 | 1:2 | WIN |
Why
01Vallecano is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game.
02Valencia is in poor form: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Vallecano 2, 5 draws, Valencia 1.
04Vallecano generate 1.91 expected goals and concede 2.02 per game. They are scoring 0.51 fewer than expected, so they create chances but do not convert them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 3.76%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.