Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction
Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction in the Primeira Liga: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Start free trialOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca to win | -149 (1.67) | market average | ||
| Draw | +264 (3.64) | market average | ||
| Casa Pia to win | +363 (4.63) | market average |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | -112 (1.89) | market average | ||
| Under 2.5 goals | -118 (1.85) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Alverca and Casa Pia form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | LWWWL→ | 9 | 10 | 11 | 1.22 |
| Casa Pia | LWLWL→ | 10 | 17 | 7 | 0.7 |
The full table is on the Primeira Liga page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Alverca vs Casa Pia, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Alverca last 5
3W 0D 2L
Casa Pia last 5
2W 0D 3L
Alverca points per game
1.2
Casa Pia points per game
0.7
Alverca scored
1.3
Casa Pia scored
0.5
Alverca conceded
1.4
Casa Pia conceded
1.9
Alverca goals in game
2.7
Casa Pia goals in game
2.4
Alverca opponents per game
1.4
Casa Pia opponents per game
1.6
Alverca over 2.5
50%
Casa Pia over 2.5
30%
Alverca both scored
65%
Casa Pia both scored
30%
Alverca first half goals
1.1
Casa Pia first half goals
0.9
Alverca second half goals
1.6
Casa Pia second half goals
1.6
Alverca vs Casa Pia head to head
2 meetingsMeetings
2
Goals per meeting
3.0
Over 2.5
1 of 2
Both scored
1 of 2
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Alverca v Casa Pia | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2025-11-29 | Casa Pia v Alverca | 0–2 | 2 |
Alverca picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Alverca vs Arouca | Over 2.5 | 1.85 | 0:1 | LOSS |
Casa Pia picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | Casa Pia vs Sp Lisbon | Over 2.5 | 1.60 | 0:2 | LOSS |
| 24 Oct | Estrela vs Casa Pia | Estrela to win | 1.76 | 0:2 | LOSS |
Why
01Alverca is in good form: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game.
02Casa Pia is inconsistent: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 per game.
03Last 2 meetings: Alverca 2, 0 draws, Casa Pia 0. Casa Pia have not won any of them.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 8.97%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.