Liverpool vs Man United prediction
Liverpool vs Man United prediction in the Premier League: 5 markets modelled on this match, with the price and the book on the 3 we publish a price for. The trust on each market, and the one we back, are for members.
Best Pick for this Matchup
one pick per matchModel prediction
Our pick on this match, and the reasons behind it
One pick a day stays open. The rest is for members.
Get membershipOutcome 1X2
3 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool to win | -130 (1.77) | market average | ||
| Draw | +300 (4.00) | market average | ||
| Man United to win | +320 (4.20) | market average |
Total goals over/under
2 selections ·| Selection | Trust | Odds | Book | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | +138 (2.38) | market average | ||
| Under 3.5 goals | -157 (1.64) | market average |
Every selection above carries the book's own price. We back only one of them, and that one is in the panel at the top.
Liverpool and Man United form and standing
last 5 · table 2026/27| Club | Last 5 | Played | Pos | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | LWWLW→ | 10 | 4 | 18 | 1.8 |
| Man United | DDDLL→ | 9 | 19 | 7 | 0.78 |
The full table is on the Premier League page, and every match either club has played is on its own page.
Liverpool vs Man United, side by side
form last 5 · goals last 10 · rates last 20Liverpool last 5
3W 0D 2L
Man United last 5
0W 3D 2L
Liverpool points per game
1.8
Man United points per game
0.8
Liverpool scored
1.4
Man United scored
1.3
Liverpool conceded
1.0
Man United conceded
1.5
Liverpool goals in game
2.4
Man United goals in game
2.8
Liverpool opponents per game
1.6
Man United opponents per game
1.4
Liverpool over 2.5
55%
Man United over 2.5
60%
Liverpool both scored
65%
Man United both scored
65%
Liverpool first half goals
0.9
Man United first half goals
0.9
Liverpool second half goals
1.3
Man United second half goals
1.9
Liverpool vs Man United head to head
8 meetingsMeetings
8
Goals per meeting
3.6
Over 2.5
7 of 8
Both scored
5 of 8
| Date | Match | Score | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Man United v Liverpool | 3–2 | 5 |
| 2025-10-19 | Liverpool v Man United | 1–2 | 3 |
| 2025-01-05 | Liverpool v Man United | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2024-09-01 | Man United v Liverpool | 0–3 | 3 |
| 2024-04-07 | Man United v Liverpool | 2–2 | 4 |
| 2023-12-17 | Liverpool v Man United | 0–0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Liverpool v Man United | 7–0 | 7 |
| 2022-08-22 | Man United v Liverpool | 2–1 | 3 |
Liverpool picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov | Crystal Palace vs Liverpool | Liverpool to win | 1.57 | 1:3 | WIN |
| 1 Nov | Liverpool vs Arsenal | Over 2.5 | 1.88 | 0:1 | LOSS |
| 25 Oct | Liverpool vs Brighton | Over 2.5 | 1.53 | 2:0 | LOSS |
Man United picks we published
newest first| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | Chelsea vs Man United | Over 2.5 | 1.57 | 2:0 | LOSS |
| 25 Oct | Man United vs Bournemouth | Over 2.5 | 1.62 | 0:3 | WIN |
Why
01Liverpool is in good form: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game.
02Man United is in a slump: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5. Scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.6 per game.
03Last 8 meetings: Liverpool 2, 3 draws, Man United 3.
HOW WE PRICE THISTrust is built from the market price of one book with that book's margin stripped out. The margin on this match is 5.31%. The price and the trust come from the same book, so the odds you see are odds you can actually take. What we show is the cleanest trust that exists for this match, plus the context around it.